That's what the 247Sports Team Rankings show us ...
But it's hard to recruit outside of the Power 5!
Really?
Then how do you explain Xavier having the nation's 10th-best class? Or Western Kentucky having the nation's 11th-best class? Or UNLV having the nation's 14th-best class? Or Providence having the nation's 17th-best class?
247Sports Team Rankings wrote:
10 - Xavier
17 – Providence
21 - Creighton
24 - Villanova
32 – Butler
39 - Seton Hall
55 – Marquette
73 - DePaul
75 - Georgetown
On March 9, 2017 OmahaGuy wrote:
Getting:
*Marvin Clark (Transfer from Michigan State. 6'7 215)
*Justin Simon (Transfer from Arizona. A former 5-star. 6'5 205)
stever20 wrote:I just think the AAC is far more solid than folks here want to make it out.
stever20 wrote:GoldenWarrior11 wrote:My point this year with Xavier was that when the injury took place, they were only a projected 6 seed. They were only 15-6(and had just lost 4 of 5 games). When the injury with Creighton took place, they were still only projected as a 3 seed. Even with the 18-1 record. So I just don't think you can say at all that it would have been a lock for either of them to make the final 4 w/o the injuries. Could one of those teams have made the final 4? Sure. But I wouldn't have classified it as a lock at all. I think people are forgetting especially with Xavier the problems they had. Do I think Creighton would have gone further without the injury? Of course I do(esp given they lost 1st round). Do I think they would have been a lock for final 4? nope. With Xavier, you can't just assume that they're the same path they got in the NCAA tourney. Instead of them being a 11 seed, and with that path, they're probably between a 4-6 seed. Totally different animal there- especially if they're a 4/5 seed, getting one of Gonzaga, UNC, or Kansas in the RSF.
stever20 wrote:Do I think they would have been a lock for final 4? nope. With Xavier, you can't just assume that they're the same path they got in the NCAA tourney. Instead of them being a 11 seed, and with that path, they're probably between a 4-6 seed. Totally different animal there- especially if they're a 4/5 seed, getting one of Gonzaga, UNC, or Kansas in the RSF.
SJHooper wrote:4* Sidney Wilson committing to UConn over SJ. This has been an absolutely terrible stretch recruiting for SJ. 5 stars? Swing and miss. 4 stars? Swing and miss. 3 star guys? Swing and miss. 2 star guys? Again...swing and miss. It's officially time to put an end to the NYC area kids only experiment. NYC area kids don't want to stay local...90% of them. Dare I say it but we need more of a Lavin approach incorporated recruiting. Of course inquire about the local studs but don't rely on them. There is a middle ground. And to think that Matt A acted like he deserved a raise...he deserves a demotion if anything. We keep hearing he is so great, but great recruiters don't fail entire cycles with win now teams. Great recruiters don't miss on guys like Kante. As a SJ fan we always seem to go through rebuilding stages, then we get a few nice pieces, everyone is hopeful, and we need only 1 or 2 more pieces to be a legit tourney team but we never get them. We come so close to being relevant then we miss on the guys that will put the cherry on top. All we needed were 2 more bigs for next year whether transfer or freshman recruit. That would have put the cherry on top and likely raised us to around an 75% chance of making the tourney. Without anyone added, I'd say our chances as they stand today making the tourney are at 30%. And that's if we are healthy.
It's one thing if you don't have any PT to offer and you are going to be a bad team. We have tons of PT to offer bigs and we could be a very good team next year with extra bodies. Also, I hope UConn never gets into the ACC and we never take them. Let them continue to rot.
stever20 wrote:Xavier when the shoulder injury happened- Jan 10 was the injury date(loss to Nova). Looked at Lunardi's bracketology on Jan 12. Where are they? a 5 seed. At that point, they had all of 2 wins over teams who made the tourney- Wake Forest and Providence. You can't just automatically say because Xavier made elite 8 w/o Summer that if Summer was healthy they would have made the final 4. 2 completely independent events.
My point is simple. The statement that billyjack made "So you can't dismiss our 7 bids AND dismiss the probabilty of possibly getting Final Fours from XU and Creighton. One must be true." I'm sorry, but that's not a true statement at all. Xavier at a 4 or 5 seed did not have a high probability of making a final 4. And THAT is where they were where even the first injury took place. Creighton for as good as they were was still only a 3 seed due to a soft OOC schedule when the injury took place(before Jan 16). 3 seeds on historical average make the final 4 only 11% of the time. Elite 8 even only 24% of the time.
I think some folks want to act here like Creighton or Xavier were 1 or 2 seeds when the injuries took place. And that's not the case.
And yes. The ONLY reason why the Big East got 7 teams in the tourney was due to the injuries.....
Providence- had 2 wins over Xavier and Creighton after the injury. Was the 4th team in the tourney.
Marquette- had 4 wins over Xavier and Creighton after the injury. Was the 6th team in the tourney.
Yeah, if the injuries hadn't taken place, how many of those games do Providence or Marquette win? They didn't have much of a margin for error at all. If both teams split the games- PC going 1-1 and Marquette going 2-2, very likely BOTH miss the tourney.
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