Saturday's Games 1/30

[billyjack]

Kris Dunn's 1000th career point last night was amazing.

https://youtu.be/9cWGKALFhRQ

https://youtu.be/9cWGKALFhRQ

[billyjack]

Also, we're going to get 5 bids, like I've been saying since October.

- Villanova,
- Xavier,
- Providence.
- Butler.
- Seton Hall or Georgetown, with Creighton a longshot.

- Butler has played 6 road games and has 6 losses. They're done with PC and have only 1 each vs X and V. Their results in close games will even out by the end of February.
- Georgetown has wins over Xavier, Syracuse (who is quietly winning and climbing), and Wisconsin (who is quietly winning and climbing), and their killer ooc schedule will be rewarded.
- Seton Hall has the Wichita State win, and Georgia has been competent.

[stever20]

Also, we're going to get 5 bids, like I've been saying since October.

- Villanova,
- Xavier,
- Providence.
- Butler.
- Seton Hall or Georgetown, with Creighton a longshot.

- Butler has played 6 road games and has 6 losses. They're done with PC and have only 1 each vs X and V. Their results in close games will even out by the end of February.
- Georgetown has wins over Xavier, Syracuse (who is quietly winning and climbing), and Wisconsin (who is quietly winning and climbing), and their killer ooc schedule will be rewarded.
- Seton Hall has the Wichita State win, and Georgia has been competent.

The problem is the schedule.... Butler, Seton Hall, and Georgetown have to play each other double round robin still.
Butler really has to go 3-1 in this stretch. If they lose 2x, they would still have a game with X and V- plus tough games with Creighton and Marquette. EXTERMELY dicey.
Georgetown has now 9 losses. If they lose 2x, they would have 11, with games left with X, V, and PC. plus @ Marquette. Extremely dicey as well.
Seton Hall has 6 losses total. If they lose 2x, they would have 8, with games left with PC and X. Plus Marquette. they are doable...

The worst case scenario- the ONLY way 3 bids becomes possible is if they go 2-2 with each other..

The next worst case scenario IMO is if-
one team goes 3-1
one team goes 2-2
one team goes 1-3.

The 2-2 team is in deep trouble, and the 1-3 team is as good as out(with the POSSIBLE exception of Seton Hall).

best case scenario would be
two teams go 3-1
one team goes 0-4

the 2 3-1 teams would be in great shape at that point, while the 0-4 team would be out. This may be the only scenario to get 5 teams in- save for a miraculous run by Creighton.

[scoscox]

Is Villanova gonna wake up at some point in this game?

[marquette]

Yes, of course stever. Everything will go wrong for the Big East and we will wind up with 0 bids. And just as you predicted the SEC dominated their challenge with the big 12 and supplanted us at 4th in the rpi. Wait...

[FriarJ]

Ben Bentil last 3 games, 31 points against Nova, 25 against Xavier, 26 against Georgetown. He may have the biggest jump in production from freshman to soph of any player I have seen. Georgetown is huge and deep and they could not handle him anywhere on the court.

[stever20]

Yes, of course stever. Everything will go wrong for the Big East and we will wind up with 0 bids. And just as you predicted the SEC dominated their challenge with the big 12 and supplanted us at 4th in the rpi. Wait...

I never said that the Big East would wind up with 0 bids. I gave a very tough scenario where only 3 bids becomes possible..... if the double round robin everyone goes 2-2. That's extremely unlikely. Even there, Seton Hall could get in still.

I see 1 scenario where 5 seems likely.

Right now I would say-
3 bids- 5% chance
4 bids- 80% chance
5 bids- 15% chance

[marquette]

Yes, of course stever. Everything will go wrong for the Big East and we will wind up with 0 bids. And just as you predicted the SEC dominated their challenge with the big 12 and supplanted us at 4th in the rpi. Wait...

I never said that the Big East would wind up with 0 bids. I gave a very tough scenario where only 3 bids becomes possible..... if the double round robin everyone goes 2-2. That's extremely unlikely. Even there, Seton Hall could get in still.

I see 1 scenario where 5 seems likely.

Right now I would say-
3 bids- 5% chance
4 bids- 80% chance
5 bids- 15% chance

Maybe we should designate a sarcasm font, although I thought saying 0 bids would give me away.

[stever20]

Yes, of course stever. Everything will go wrong for the Big East and we will wind up with 0 bids. And just as you predicted the SEC dominated their challenge with the big 12 and supplanted us at 4th in the rpi. Wait...

I never said that the Big East would wind up with 0 bids. I gave a very tough scenario where only 3 bids becomes possible..... if the double round robin everyone goes 2-2. That's extremely unlikely. Even there, Seton Hall could get in still.

I see 1 scenario where 5 seems likely.

Right now I would say-
3 bids- 5% chance
4 bids- 80% chance
5 bids- 15% chance

Maybe we should designate a sarcasm font, although I thought saying 0 bids would give me away.

lol, I have started to go [/sarcasm] after saying something like that

I think 4 bids is by far the most likely. 3 bids while possible really would take a terrible turn of events that seems extremely unlikely. 5 bids is possible- but everything would have to fall in place(though I see 5 way more likely than 3). [/notsarcasm]

[stever20]

Ben Bentil last 3 games, 31 points against Nova, 25 against Xavier, 26 against Georgetown. He may have the biggest jump in production from freshman to soph of any player I have seen. Georgetown is huge and deep and they could not handle him anywhere on the court.

TOTALLY agree. Plus he makes free throws....... You don't win that game w/o him.....

(oh and Billyjack is right- Dunn's 1000th point was special)...