Bubble Watch

[stever20]

Opponent's opponents wp is even less. That number is over 25,000 games. (think 830 times 30 games).

Just looking at RPI forecast, not seeing their RPI dropping. Maybe in the RPI Wizard you like but not the forecast.

[stever20]

Tulsa not pretty but survive and advance.

Raw RPI went for Tulsa from .5802 to .5810

[Bill Marsh]

LA Tech taken out by UAB by 10 in OT. Looks like neither ODU nor LA Tech will get to the tournament from CUSA, which should reduce competition for seeding.

[Bill Marsh]

Opponent's opponents wp is even less. That number is over 25,000 games. (think 830 times 30 games).

Just looking at RPI forecast, not seeing their RPI dropping. Maybe in the RPI Wizard you like but not the forecast.

Yep, I went to The Wizard.

[stever20]

LA Tech taken out by UAB by 10 in OT. Looks like neither ODU nor LA Tech will get to the tournament from CUSA, which should reduce competition for seeding.

Yeah considering UAB is 151 and Mid Tennessee is 129- while La Tech is 52/Old Dominion 46- just shows the HUGE difference. Their champ may be lucky to be a 15 seed quite frankly...

[stever20]

Looking at Stevens At Large board:
21. Louisiana State lost to a bad Auburn team
22. St. John's dnp
23. Cincinnati lost at the buzzer to UConn
24. Iowa dnp
25. Dayton beat St Bonaventure
26. Georgia beat South Carolina
27. Oklahoma State dnp
28. N.C. State dnp
29. Ohio State lost to Michigan St
30. Oregon beat Utah

31. Temple beat Memphis
32. Mississippi dnp

LAST FOUR IN
33. Purdue beat Penn St
34. Indiana lost to Maryland
35. Brigham Young dnp
36. Texas dnp

FIRST FOUR OUT

37. Miami dnp
38. UCLA lost to Arizona
39. Tulsa beat Houston
40. Texas A&M dnp

so really Tulsa is the only team on the out that can help themselves.

Will be very interesting to see where Stevens puts Boise St who got beat by Wyoming tonight.

I think a sleeper game to watch tomorrow is the Southland championship game. SF Austin right now has a RPI of 35 with a 25-4 record. 3 top 50 wins. I think if Sam Houston St upsets them, it could get interesting.

If I'm Boise, LSU, BYU and Texas, I'm rooting like heck for SMU/Temple, San Diego St, and Davidson/VCU/Dayton.

[Bill Marsh]

Yes,it will e interesting to see what the committee does with SF Austin, ODU, LA Tech, Iona, and Boise State, all mid majors with questionable SOS but with RPI that puts them in the conversation. Even Murray State is getting talked about. We've seen in the past teams get bumped with RPI IN THE 30's. After conference realignment, this should be Avery interesting committee.

Tulsa can. Help themselves . . . but they won't.

[stever20]

Yes,it will e interesting to see what the committee does with SF Austin, ODU, LA Tech, Iona, and Boise State, all mid majors with questionable SOS but with RPI that puts them in the conversation. Even Murray State is getting talked about. We've seen in the past teams get bumped with RPI IN THE 30's. After conference realignment, this should be Avery interesting committee.

Tulsa can. Help themselves . . . but they won't.

SF Austin is a bit different though. They have 3 top 50 wins. They above any of the others could be very interesting.

[GreatDaneAttorney]

I'm liking UConn by 10 or so tonight. The last time Tulsa played @ UConn, UConn won by 25. Even with a loss to UConn, Tulsa might still sneak in because of all the early-tournament losses by bubble teams.

The real question will be Sunday's game for the American title. The American still has an outside chance at 5 teams in the tourney if UConn can get the league title. I think it's a stretch, but other leagues certainly haven't helped themselves.

[stever20]

I'm liking UConn by 10 or so tonight. The last time Tulsa played @ UConn, UConn won by 25. Even with a loss to UConn, Tulsa might still sneak in because of all the early-tournament losses by bubble teams.

The real question will be Sunday's game for the American title. The American still has an outside chance at 5 teams in the tourney if UConn can get the league title. I think it's a stretch, but other leagues certainly haven't helped themselves.

I think 4 is the max for the AAC. I think if Tulsa loses today, they're out. Just looking at the Stevens board from Syracuse, he's got Tulsa as the 1st team out right now. That seems right....

What you have to remember all those early-tourney losses was most of them came from the teams that were out of the bracket.