Bubble Watch

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Re: Bubble Watch

Postby MUPanther » Fri Mar 13, 2015 12:47 pm

Davidson in trouble down by 6, with 4:07 left on NBCSN.
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Re: Bubble Watch

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Re: Bubble Watch

Postby Bill Marsh » Fri Mar 13, 2015 12:55 pm

HoosierPal wrote:I'm not sure what the big deal is here. Facts are facts. Tulsa is still in the conversation. Two wins and they just might get in. A win and a loss, they might not. This will all play out in the next two days. But today, Tulsa is still on the board. If Houston beats them, they are done.


Sure, they're still in the conversation, but just the fact that they're playing Houston hurts their RPI. And there's just as good a possibility that they lose to Houston as that they beat Cincinnati. The Bearcats are favored if the 2 teams should meet. If it's a close game, Tulsa's in trouble because they're a team that shoots 64% from the line. What is even a worse scenario for Tulsa is that Cincy loses to UConn. The odds of them beating the Huskies in Hartford. are even longer.

A win over Houston and a loss to Cincinnati or UConn leaves Tulsa with a worse RPI than they had going into the tournament. An unlikely win over Cincinnati or UConn will give them a little boost, but it still doesn't guarantee them a bid because that will depend on what everyone else does as well. If they're going to have to get to the AAC finals to have any hope, they really should go out and win the tournament because that's really the only way to guarantee themselves a bid at this point.

A long shot.
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Re: Bubble Watch

Postby Bill Marsh » Fri Mar 13, 2015 12:58 pm

MUPanther wrote:Davidson in trouble down by 6, with 4:07 left on NBCSN.


1 point with 1:15 to go.

Kentucky leads Florida by only 4 at the half.
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Re: Bubble Watch

Postby MUPanther » Fri Mar 13, 2015 1:01 pm

Davidson ends the game on a 10-0 and hits a running at the buzzer for the thrilling win.
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Re: Bubble Watch

Postby Bill Marsh » Fri Mar 13, 2015 1:03 pm

Davidson pulls it out, winning by 1 point. McKillop can coach a little bit. 8-)
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Re: Bubble Watch

Postby stever20 » Fri Mar 13, 2015 1:15 pm

Bill Marsh wrote:
HoosierPal wrote:I'm not sure what the big deal is here. Facts are facts. Tulsa is still in the conversation. Two wins and they just might get in. A win and a loss, they might not. This will all play out in the next two days. But today, Tulsa is still on the board. If Houston beats them, they are done.


Sure, they're still in the conversation, but just the fact that they're playing Houston hurts their RPI. And there's just as good a possibility that they lose to Houston as that they beat Cincinnati. The Bearcats are favored if the 2 teams should meet. If it's a close game, Tulsa's in trouble because they're a team that shoots 64% from the line. What is even a worse scenario for Tulsa is that Cincy loses to UConn. The odds of them beating the Huskies in Hartford. are even longer.

A win over Houston and a loss to Cincinnati or UConn leaves Tulsa with a worse RPI than they had going into the tournament. An unlikely win over Cincinnati or UConn will give them a little boost, but it still doesn't guarantee them a bid because that will depend on what everyone else does as well. If they're going to have to get to the AAC finals to have any hope, they really should go out and win the tournament because that's really the only way to guarantee themselves a bid at this point.

A long shot.


It actually will help their RPI playing Houston. First off it will take their own winning percentage up from .71852 to .72857. Their opponents winning percentage drops- but only from .5367 to .5326. You have got to remember going into today for instance Tulsa's opponents have 829 games already played. So adding 13-18 doesn't hurt as much as you would think.

And one big thing- with what happened yesterday the teams around them on the outs crapped out.
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Re: Bubble Watch

Postby HoosierPal » Fri Mar 13, 2015 1:21 pm

Bill Marsh wrote:
HoosierPal wrote:I'm not sure what the big deal is here. Facts are facts. Tulsa is still in the conversation. Two wins and they just might get in. A win and a loss, they might not. This will all play out in the next two days. But today, Tulsa is still on the board. If Houston beats them, they are done.


Sure, they're still in the conversation,


Thank you.
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Re: Bubble Watch

Postby Bill Marsh » Fri Mar 13, 2015 3:43 pm

HoosierPal wrote:
Bill Marsh wrote:
HoosierPal wrote:I'm not sure what the big deal is here. Facts are facts. Tulsa is still in the conversation. Two wins and they just might get in. A win and a loss, they might not. This will all play out in the next two days. But today, Tulsa is still on the board. If Houston beats them, they are done.


Sure, they're still in the conversation,


Thank you.


You're welcome. ;)
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Re: Bubble Watch

Postby Bill Marsh » Fri Mar 13, 2015 3:49 pm

stever20 wrote:
Bill Marsh wrote:
HoosierPal wrote:I'm not sure what the big deal is here. Facts are facts. Tulsa is still in the conversation. Two wins and they just might get in. A win and a loss, they might not. This will all play out in the next two days. But today, Tulsa is still on the board. If Houston beats them, they are done.


Sure, they're still in the conversation, but just the fact that they're playing Houston hurts their RPI. And there's just as good a possibility that they lose to Houston as that they beat Cincinnati. The Bearcats are favored if the 2 teams should meet. If it's a close game, Tulsa's in trouble because they're a team that shoots 64% from the line. What is even a worse scenario for Tulsa is that Cincy loses to UConn. The odds of them beating the Huskies in Hartford. are even longer.

A win over Houston and a loss to Cincinnati or UConn leaves Tulsa with a worse RPI than they had going into the tournament. An unlikely win over Cincinnati or UConn will give them a little boost, but it still doesn't guarantee them a bid because that will depend on what everyone else does as well. If they're going to have to get to the AAC finals to have any hope, they really should go out and win the tournament because that's really the only way to guarantee themselves a bid at this point.

A long shot.


It actually will help their RPI playing Houston. First off it will take their own winning percentage up from .71852 to .72857. Their opponents winning percentage drops- but only from .5367 to .5326. You have got to remember going into today for instance Tulsa's opponents have 829 games already played. So adding 13-18 doesn't hurt as much as you would think.

And one big thing- with what happened yesterday the teams around them on the outs crapped out.


How about their opponent's opponents' WP?

I was making my statement off RPI Forecast. To be more specific, their RPI rank drops. I don't know about the RPI itself. I should have stated that more clearly.
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Re: Bubble Watch

Postby Bill Marsh » Fri Mar 13, 2015 3:55 pm

Richmond loses to VCU by 3 in the A10 tournament.
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