Steve Lavin wrote:If we don't beat the brakes off of SHU tomorrow, this is clearly not a tourney team. Literally the two players that killed us last time are the same ones who won't be playing. They are leaving 24 average points off the team tomorrow. Home game, tourney on the line, last game at CA for seniors, revenge game, and a much weakened SHU team in turmoil. Sounds like an easy win right? It should be, but with SJU you never know. With Harrison and Obekpa already very banged up it wouldn't shock me if it came right down to the last basket or two. If it does, shame on us, because we need a blowout to rest Harrison and Obekpa.
If we can beat SHU then we are looking at needing 2 more wins.
We'd still have home games vs. Xavier and G'town, plus away games at Marquette and Nova. So we need any two wins from those. I'd say our best chance is beating Xavier at home, losing to G'Town, beating Marquette away, and losing to Nova at home. 2-2 to finish the season and would put us at 20-11 (9-9). Then win 1-2 games in the BET and we are surely in. Since we never win BET games, I feel as if we are far overdue to win a few this year. At some point the law of averages comes into play. If we can somehow beat Nova (their minds might be on the Final Four and not St. John's) then we can get in easily without any BET wins.
I always wondered what it feels like to sit back around this time of year knowing your team is easily in and allowing your stars to rest up. This feels like a replay of last year. Right on the bubble, tough end of the schedule but doable. Hopefully this year we don't fall flat again.
stever20 wrote:Steve Lavin wrote:If we don't beat the brakes off of SHU tomorrow, this is clearly not a tourney team. Literally the two players that killed us last time are the same ones who won't be playing. They are leaving 24 average points off the team tomorrow. Home game, tourney on the line, last game at CA for seniors, revenge game, and a much weakened SHU team in turmoil. Sounds like an easy win right? It should be, but with SJU you never know. With Harrison and Obekpa already very banged up it wouldn't shock me if it came right down to the last basket or two. If it does, shame on us, because we need a blowout to rest Harrison and Obekpa.
If we can beat SHU then we are looking at needing 2 more wins.
We'd still have home games vs. Xavier and G'town, plus away games at Marquette and Nova. So we need any two wins from those. I'd say our best chance is beating Xavier at home, losing to G'Town, beating Marquette away, and losing to Nova at home. 2-2 to finish the season and would put us at 20-11 (9-9). Then win 1-2 games in the BET and we are surely in. Since we never win BET games, I feel as if we are far overdue to win a few this year. At some point the law of averages comes into play. If we can somehow beat Nova (their minds might be on the Final Four and not St. John's) then we can get in easily without any BET wins.
I always wondered what it feels like to sit back around this time of year knowing your team is easily in and allowing your stars to rest up. This feels like a replay of last year. Right on the bubble, tough end of the schedule but doable. Hopefully this year we don't fall flat again.
Don't disagree with what you are saying, but remember, you would actually only be 19-11 for RPI purposes. The Franklin Pearce game doesn't count.
I think the key for St John's in the BET is to avoid at first either Butler or Georgetown. Just 2 pretty poor matchups(0-3 against with 2 blowouts), vs Providence/Xavier(3-0 with closest game being a 8 point win).
Steve Lavin wrote:stever20 wrote:Steve Lavin wrote:If we don't beat the brakes off of SHU tomorrow, this is clearly not a tourney team. Literally the two players that killed us last time are the same ones who won't be playing. They are leaving 24 average points off the team tomorrow. Home game, tourney on the line, last game at CA for seniors, revenge game, and a much weakened SHU team in turmoil. Sounds like an easy win right? It should be, but with SJU you never know. With Harrison and Obekpa already very banged up it wouldn't shock me if it came right down to the last basket or two. If it does, shame on us, because we need a blowout to rest Harrison and Obekpa.
If we can beat SHU then we are looking at needing 2 more wins.
We'd still have home games vs. Xavier and G'town, plus away games at Marquette and Nova. So we need any two wins from those. I'd say our best chance is beating Xavier at home, losing to G'Town, beating Marquette away, and losing to Nova at home. 2-2 to finish the season and would put us at 20-11 (9-9). Then win 1-2 games in the BET and we are surely in. Since we never win BET games, I feel as if we are far overdue to win a few this year. At some point the law of averages comes into play. If we can somehow beat Nova (their minds might be on the Final Four and not St. John's) then we can get in easily without any BET wins.
I always wondered what it feels like to sit back around this time of year knowing your team is easily in and allowing your stars to rest up. This feels like a replay of last year. Right on the bubble, tough end of the schedule but doable. Hopefully this year we don't fall flat again.
Don't disagree with what you are saying, but remember, you would actually only be 19-11 for RPI purposes. The Franklin Pearce game doesn't count.
I think the key for St John's in the BET is to avoid at first either Butler or Georgetown. Just 2 pretty poor matchups(0-3 against with 2 blowouts), vs Providence/Xavier(3-0 with closest game being a 8 point win).
I don't think a team has ever been kept out for that reason…scheduling a D-II team…so what? Other teams do also. I would still expect at least 1 BET anyway so that's 20 either way you slice it. I don't care who we play in the opener, because we have not won ANY tourney games yet. That has to change. And it will at some point. Maybe this year, maybe next.
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