CBS Bracketology 2-16

[R Jay]

A bit more on Temple's resume, stever.
1-3 vs RPI Top 25, 1-1 vs RPI 26-50, 4-1 vs RPI 51-100... Not bad.
2 sub 100 losses... ugh.
And 10-0 vs. RPI 200+... Bad. Ask SMU. Selection committee will look at that and probably penalize them.
Their wins over Kansas and Cincy at home are saving they're hind-end right now from being clearly out.
RPIForecast predicts them to end the season at 33.5. If they lose to UCONN at home in the last game their RPI falls to 36. If they lose to both UCONN and East Carolina they fall to 45. If they lose all 5 games they have left they're at 64. If they lose 4 out of the next 5 and lose in their first game of the AAC Tournament (against Memphis as of now) they're left at 56.
They're going to have win at least two more games to feel comfortable. If not, they might be in trouble.

[stever20]

A bit more on Temple's resume, stever.
1-3 vs RPI Top 25, 1-1 vs RPI 26-50, 4-1 vs RPI 51-100... Not bad.
2 sub 100 losses... ugh.
And 10-0 vs. RPI 200+... Bad. Ask SMU. Selection committee will look at that and probably penalize them.
Their wins over Kansas and Cincy at home are saving they're hind-end right now from being clearly out.
RPIForecast predicts them to end the season at 33.5. If they lose to UCONN at home in the last game their RPI falls to 36. If they lose to both UCONN and East Carolina they fall to 45. If they lose all 5 games they have left they're at 64. If they lose 4 out of the next 5 and lose in their first game of the AAC Tournament (against Memphis as of now) they're left at 56.
They're going to have win at least two more games to feel comfortable. If not, they might be in trouble.

What killed SMU was the awful OOC schedule. period- that and some bad losses... Temple just not like that at all. #37 this year compared to I want to say 292 last year for SMU. Night and day difference there...

UNLV could easily wind up not a sub 100 loss. They are one of those that is right on the cut line...

Temple basically beats Houston and ECU, loses the other 3 games to Tulsa, SMU, and UConn, they are a RPI of 36. That's pretty much a lock.

[stever20]

also frankly- we in a lot of ways should want Temple winning 1 game- vs Tulsa. A Tulsa win, and they are in a position where they would be 20-6 entering their last 3 games- @ Memphis, Cincy, and @ SMU. Just looking at the RPI- there is a HUGE difference between Tulsa at 20 wins and Tulsa at 21 wins. So if Tulsa has beaten Temple, they would just need 1 of those 3 wins to get in the regular season with a sub 40 RPI. If Temple has beaten Tulsa, they would need 2 of those 3 games. Huge difference there.

[Bill Marsh]

A bit more on Temple's resume, stever.
1-3 vs RPI Top 25, 1-1 vs RPI 26-50, 4-1 vs RPI 51-100... Not bad.
2 sub 100 losses... ugh.
And 10-0 vs. RPI 200+... Bad. Ask SMU. Selection committee will look at that and probably penalize them.
Their wins over Kansas and Cincy at home are saving they're hind-end right now from being clearly out.
RPIForecast predicts them to end the season at 33.5. If they lose to UCONN at home in the last game their RPI falls to 36. If they lose to both UCONN and East Carolina they fall to 45. If they lose all 5 games they have left they're at 64. If they lose 4 out of the next 5 and lose in their first game of the AAC Tournament (against Memphis as of now) they're left at 56.
They're going to have win at least two more games to feel comfortable. If not, they might be in trouble.

So basically Temple is 9-7 vs everyone with an RPI under 200. They are picked to lose their next 2 games vs SMU and Tulsa on the road which will put them at .500 (9-9) against that same category except they'll now have 12 wins a teams at 200+. That puts them under a lot of pressure going into the UCONN game.

But even if they beat UConn, they've then got to go out and win their first AAC tournament game - possibly against UConn in Hartford or they'll be back at .500. The only thing that gives them the record that they have is the fact that their schedule is padded with a dozen teams over 200 RPI.

[stever20]

A bit more on Temple's resume, stever.
1-3 vs RPI Top 25, 1-1 vs RPI 26-50, 4-1 vs RPI 51-100... Not bad.
2 sub 100 losses... ugh.
And 10-0 vs. RPI 200+... Bad. Ask SMU. Selection committee will look at that and probably penalize them.
Their wins over Kansas and Cincy at home are saving they're hind-end right now from being clearly out.
RPIForecast predicts them to end the season at 33.5. If they lose to UCONN at home in the last game their RPI falls to 36. If they lose to both UCONN and East Carolina they fall to 45. If they lose all 5 games they have left they're at 64. If they lose 4 out of the next 5 and lose in their first game of the AAC Tournament (against Memphis as of now) they're left at 56.
They're going to have win at least two more games to feel comfortable. If not, they might be in trouble.

So basically Temple is 9-7 vs everyone with an RPI under 200. They are picked to lose their next 2 games vs SMU and Tulsa on the road which will put them at .500 (9-9) against that same category except they'll now have 12 wins a teams at 200+. That puts them under a lot of pressure going into the UCONN game.

But even if they beat UConn, they've then got to go out and win their first AAC tournament game - possibly against UConn in Hartford or they'll be back at .500. The only thing that gives them the record that they have is the fact that their schedule is padded with a dozen teams over 200 RPI.

they have something though that no other bubble teams have and that's a win over Kansas. That's huge. Temple is as long as they take care of the easy games a lock now.

[Bill Marsh]

A bit more on Temple's resume, stever.
1-3 vs RPI Top 25, 1-1 vs RPI 26-50, 4-1 vs RPI 51-100... Not bad.
2 sub 100 losses... ugh.
And 10-0 vs. RPI 200+... Bad. Ask SMU. Selection committee will look at that and probably penalize them.
Their wins over Kansas and Cincy at home are saving they're hind-end right now from being clearly out.
RPIForecast predicts them to end the season at 33.5. If they lose to UCONN at home in the last game their RPI falls to 36. If they lose to both UCONN and East Carolina they fall to 45. If they lose all 5 games they have left they're at 64. If they lose 4 out of the next 5 and lose in their first game of the AAC Tournament (against Memphis as of now) they're left at 56.
They're going to have win at least two more games to feel comfortable. If not, they might be in trouble.

So basically Temple is 9-7 vs everyone with an RPI under 200. They are picked to lose their next 2 games vs SMU and Tulsa on the road which will put them at .500 (9-9) against that same category except they'll now have 12 wins a teams at 200+. That puts them under a lot of pressure going into the UCONN game.

But even if they beat UConn, they've then got to go out and win their first AAC tournament game - possibly against UConn in Hartford or they'll be back at .500. The only thing that gives them the record that they have is the fact that their schedule is padded with a dozen teams over 200 RPI.

they have something though that no other bubble teams have and that's a win over Kansas. That's huge. Temple is as long as they take care of the easy games a lock now.

Good point.