stever20 wrote:I think Wednesday night is going to tell us a lot if we have any shot at 7 bids...
Seton Hall plays at Marquette
St John's plays at Creighton
If either of those teams lose- it's a crippling blow for making the tourney. Seton Hall right now has to go 6-5 rest of the way to have any chance. St John's has to go 7-5 most likely to have a realistic chance. Kind of tough for both teams to see a path to those # of wins with a loss to 9th/10th place teams, even on the road.
I think Xavier can go a long way this week in securing a bid if they can win just 1 of the 2 road games at Georgetown on Tuesday or Seton Hall on Saturday. 2 losses and they're 13-9- and 2-7 away from Cintas.
MUPanther wrote:stever20 wrote:I think Wednesday night is going to tell us a lot if we have any shot at 7 bids...
Seton Hall plays at Marquette
St John's plays at Creighton
If either of those teams lose- it's a crippling blow for making the tourney. Seton Hall right now has to go 6-5 rest of the way to have any chance. St John's has to go 7-5 most likely to have a realistic chance. Kind of tough for both teams to see a path to those # of wins with a loss to 9th/10th place teams, even on the road.
I think Xavier can go a long way this week in securing a bid if they can win just 1 of the 2 road games at Georgetown on Tuesday or Seton Hall on Saturday. 2 losses and they're 13-9- and 2-7 away from Cintas.
I agree in the concept in what your saying, but "crippling blow for making the tourney" in January?
NJRedman wrote:So according to Stever losing to the #5 team in the country is a bad loss.
stever20 wrote:From Lunardi about St John's:
For the record, I've always liked St. John's and spent a lot of friendly time with Steve Lavin during his ESPN days. But it was clear to me Sunday as Duke sprinted past the Red Storm that his team is a tease. And that Selection Sunday isn't going to end well for the Johnnies.
St. John's has seemingly done everything right to get back to the NCAA tournament. The Red Storm scheduled well, were decent in nonconference play and are headed to an acceptable numerical profile (current 51/13/43 RPI/SOS/BPI combo).
But here's the rub: The Johnnies aren't going to win enough games (or, more precisely, enough of the right games). Forget about being on the wrong side of history Sunday. If the Red Storm had held on against Duke, as they should have, the remainder of their season is entirely different. Instead, St. John's will have to bank on flipping a 2-4 Big East record.
The Johnnies have had four huge opportunities at home -- Gonzaga, Butler, Villanova and Duke -- and came up empty each time. Additional chances remain, but do you trust this team to win more than it loses at Butler (away), Georgetown (twice) and at Villanova? That's what it's going to take for the Red Storm at this point, and I'm not buying.
St. John's is the first team out today for the same reason it would miss the NCAA field in March: a losing conference record and a 2-5 mark against top-50 opponents. Our last team in, Kansas State, is 5-2 in a better league and 4-4 against the top 50. The Red Storm would win the so-called "eye test," but K-State has won more meaningful games.
So for everyone who tweeted me today that Duke was a "good loss," I'll say only that too many of them put your team in the NIT.
Red Rooster wrote:stever20 wrote:From Lunardi about St John's:
For the record, I've always liked St. John's and spent a lot of friendly time with Steve Lavin during his ESPN days. But it was clear to me Sunday as Duke sprinted past the Red Storm that his team is a tease. And that Selection Sunday isn't going to end well for the Johnnies.
St. John's has seemingly done everything right to get back to the NCAA tournament. The Red Storm scheduled well, were decent in nonconference play and are headed to an acceptable numerical profile (current 51/13/43 RPI/SOS/BPI combo).
But here's the rub: The Johnnies aren't going to win enough games (or, more precisely, enough of the right games). Forget about being on the wrong side of history Sunday. If the Red Storm had held on against Duke, as they should have, the remainder of their season is entirely different. Instead, St. John's will have to bank on flipping a 2-4 Big East record.
The Johnnies have had four huge opportunities at home -- Gonzaga, Butler, Villanova and Duke -- and came up empty each time. Additional chances remain, but do you trust this team to win more than it loses at Butler (away), Georgetown (twice) and at Villanova? That's what it's going to take for the Red Storm at this point, and I'm not buying.
Exactly! It's not like the old big east where we have a murders row ahead of us. Every team in this league can be beaten. Even if we lose those four games he thinks we can't win we can still go 8-4 down the stretch to finish 10-8 in conference. Butler can be beaten. Same with Gtown, I know they are hot now but they did lose to X. The season isn't over, we're the first team out, not that far from being in.
St. John's is the first team out today for the same reason it would miss the NCAA field in March: a losing conference record and a 2-5 mark against top-50 opponents. Our last team in, Kansas State, is 5-2 in a better league and 4-4 against the top 50. The Red Storm would win the so-called "eye test," but K-State has won more meaningful games.
So for everyone who tweeted me today that Duke was a "good loss," I'll say only that too many of them put your team in the NIT.
Win enough games, and they are in. The season isn't over.
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