RPI RANKING: FEEL FREE TO ADD OTHER RANKINGS

[stever20]

actually billyjack- just remembered something. The win vs Franklin Pierce doesn't count(d2). So if St John's finishes 19-12, it's really 18-12. If you look at that RPI by record it's 51.9. They wouldn't jump up enough in a win vs Creighton/lose to 2nd seed at all to make the tourney. For them to get to 19-11, with 8-10 in conference, would require a Duke win. Or go 9-9 in conference with a Duke loss. So they would need to go 9-7 the rest of the way in the last 16 games.

[Fieldhouse Flyer]

RPI RANKINGS – JANUARY 1, 2015

BIG EAST

5 - Villanova (13-0)
14 - St. John's (10-2)
18 - Seton Hall (11-2)
19 - Providence (11-3)
31 - Butler (10-4)
43 - Xavier (10-3)
45 - Georgetown (8-4)
116 - Creighton (9-5)
133 - Marquette (8-5)
236 - DePaul (7-7)

OTHER TEAMS

4 - Virginia Commonwealth (10-3)
6 - Gonzaga (12-1)
16 - Dayton (10-2)
138 - Richmond (7-6)
260 - Saint Louis (7-5)

RPI RANKINGS – JANUARY 12, 2015

BIG EAST

5 - Villanova (15-1)
12 - Seton Hall (13-3)
19 - Providence (13-4)
24 - Butler (12-5)
39 - Georgetown (10-5)
41 - Xavier (11-5)
43 - St. John's (10-4)
116 - Marquette (9-6)
136 - Creighton (9-8)
173 - DePaul (9-8)

OTHER TEAMS

4 - Virginia Commonwealth (13-3)
7 - Gonzaga (15-1)
16 - Dayton (13-2)
110 - Richmond (9-7)
212 - Saint Louis (7-8)

Gary Parrish’s Top 25 And One (CBS Sports – January 12, 2015)

BIG EAST

4 - Villanova (15-1)
18 - Seton Hall (13-3)

OTHER TEAMS

3 - Gonzaga (15-1)
17 - Virginia Commonwealth (13-3)
26 - Dayton (13-2)

[robinreed]

Big East Conference
Expected RPI: 2
Current RPI: 2

RPI
8.2 Villanova 0.6425 0.5646 36 15-1 27-4 3-1 14-4 3-2 6-2 5-0 8-0 5-0 13-0 8 85 4
29.0 Xavier 0.5994 0.5811 11 11-5 20-11 2-2 11-7 2-3 4-3 5-2 7-3 2-1 10-3 32 33 40
29.5 Seton Hall 0.5985 0.5621 41 13-3 21-9 3-1 11-7 2-3 3-3 3-1 7-1 5-0 10-2 27 141 12
33.1 Butler 0.5931 0.5644 37 12-5 21-10 3-2 12-7 3-4 4-3 3-2 7-2 5-0 9-3 75 161 22
34.8 Providence 0.5913 0.5783 16 13-4 20-11 3-1 10-8 2-4 4-2 5-1 5-2 3-1 10-3 31 43 14
46.6 Georgetown 0.5792 0.5891 6 10-5 17-12 2-3 9-10 2-6 3-4 2-1 5-1 5-0 8-2 26 18 35
49.4 St. John's 0.5764 0.5802 14 10-4 19-11 0-3 8-10 1-6 3-3 4-1 6-1 5-0 10-2 21 30 42
109.4 Marquette 0.5334 0.5695 31 9-6 14-16 1-2 6-12 1-6 2-5 2-1 5-1 4-2 8-4 118 105 110
152.8 Creighton 0.5089 0.5563 51 9-8 13-18 0-4 4-14 1-5 1-6 1-4 4-2 4-2 9-4 113 194 137
197.2 DePaul 0.4858 0.5379 84 9-8 12-19 3-1 6-12 1-5 2-5 1-4 3-3 5-2 6-7 295 325 174

BRACKETOLOGY

Big East Conference (4.9 Projected Bids)
Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Bid Odds Seed Projection Detail
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid Auto Bid At Large Bid Avg Seed 1-4 Seed 1 Seed
2 6 Villanova (15-1) 27-4 100% 47% 53% 2.4 91% 28%
6 24 Xavier (11-5) 20-11 75% 12% 63% 6.6 19% 1%
8 29 Butler (12-5) 21-10 83% 14% 69% 7.5 13% 0%
8 31 Providence (13-4) 20-11 68% 6% 62% 7.4 11% 0%
10 37 Seton Hall (13-3) 20-10 70% 6% 64% 8.4 6% 0%
12 46 Georgetown (10-5) 18-11 56% 8% 48% 9.4 2% 0%
St Johns (11-4) 19-12 31% 4% 27% 9.8 1% 0%
Creighton (9-8) 14-17 1% 1% 0% 12.4 0% 0%
Marquette (9-6) 15-15 7% 2% 5% 10.1 0% 0%
DePaul (9-8) 11-20 0% 0% 0% 14.3 0% 0%

[Bill Marsh]

actually billyjack- just remembered something. The win vs Franklin Pierce doesn't count(d2). So if St John's finishes 19-12, it's really 18-12. If you look at that RPI by record it's 51.9. They wouldn't jump up enough in a win vs Creighton/lose to 2nd seed at all to make the tourney. For them to get to 19-11, with 8-10 in conference, would require a Duke win. Or go 9-9 in conference with a Duke loss. So they would need to go 9-7 the rest of the way in the last 16 games.

Just ran RPI Wizard, plugging in losses in close games to result in 18-12, 8-10, including a loss to Duke. They project an RPI of 48. Definitely on the bubble, but looking like it could fall on the right side of the bubble. Of course things could change depending on results in the BE Tournament and depending on how the chips fall for other bubble teams.

Bottom line is that St. John's is still a viable contender at 18-12, 8-10.

[robinreed]

ESPN
2014-15 RPI
RK (RPI) TEAM RPI D1 W-L SOS NCRP NCSS CFRP CFSS 1-25 26-50 51-100 L12 LRPI OFFQ DEFQ ASM
1 (4) Villanova .6840 15-1 19 7 53 12 45 2-1 4-0 2-0 11-1 8 12.1 8.8 20.9
2 (12) Seton Hall .6458 13-3 43 13 124 10 28 1-1 2-2 2-0 9-3 53 5.7 7.9 13.6
3 (15) Providence .6378 13-4 13 53 19 28 81 1-1 3-0 4-1 8-4 18 4.8 8.7 13.5
4 (23) Butler .6183 12-5 14 18 85 32 18 1-2 3-1 0-2 8-4 26 5.0 11.1 16.1
5 (27) St. John's .6096 10-4 12 4 54 117 13 0-4 1-0 2-0 8-4 10 4.4 10.0 14.4
6 (36) Xavier .6035 11-5 39 41 84 59 59 1-1 2-0 1-3 7-5 110 14.4 1.9 16.3
7 (39) Georgetown .6020 10-5 10 72 20 69 76 0-4 0-1 3-0 7-5 28 7.4 6.2 13.6
8 (98) Marquette .5472 9-6 85 85 122 109 80 1-1 0-2 2-1 8-4 66 4.4 6.1 10.5
9 (126) Creighton .5289 9-8 88 64 151 176 67 0-2 1-2 0-2 4-8 101 4.7 3.4 8.2
10 (157) DePaul .5052 9-8 198 92 318 11 46 0-1 2-1 1-3 5-7 162 8.2 -4.6 3.7

[stever20]

just plugged in stuff to RPI Wizard putting them at 18-12 and 8-10(with loss to Duke)- and then adding in a win vs Creighton in the 7/10 game and a loss to Seton Hall in the 2/7 game. Came up with a RPI of 50, with a 19-13 record. That is extremely on the bubble- one of the last teams in or first teams out. Going to be a nervous season for them.

The thing that would be such a killer for the Duke game is it's another home game loss.

One thing I don't like with the Duke game is the surrounding schedule. Just would be all too easy to see St John's having a bad game with one of these 3 games- @ DePaul, Marquette,<Duke> and @ Creighton. The thing is- the road to 8 conference wins pretty much requires wins in all 3 of those games surrounding the Duke game. The DePaul and Creighton are big ones because they are the best bets for road wins in conference play. The Marquette game goes without saying of course. Hopefully St John's can stay focused in those 3 games....

[robinreed]

Big East Conference
Expected RPI: 2
Current RPI: 2
Current OOC Record: 91-29 (0.7583)
Expected OOC Record: 93-30 (0.7561)
RPI
6.5 Villanova 0.6477 0.5662 36 16-1 27-4 4-1 14-4 3-1 6-2 5-1 8-0 5-0 13-0 8 76 5
28.6 Butler 0.5994 0.5656 37 13-5 22-9 4-2 13-6 3-3 4-3 3-2 8-1 5-0 9-3 71 154 14
31.2 Xavier 0.5970 0.5813 13 11-6 20-11 2-3 10-8 2-3 4-3 5-2 7-3 2-1 10-3 31 36 41
34.6 Seton Hall 0.5924 0.5623 40 13-4 20-10 3-2 10-8 2-4 3-4 3-1 7-1 5-0 10-2 25 147 19
41.6 St. John's 0.5844 0.5770 18 11-4 20-10 1-3 9-9 1-5 3-3 4-1 6-1 5-0 10-2 22 47 31
42.5 Providence 0.5830 0.5793 15 13-5 19-12 3-2 9-9 2-4 4-3 4-1 6-3 3-1 10-3 27 41 22
46.2 Georgetown 0.5796 0.5880 6 11-5 17-12 3-3 9-10 1-6 3-4 2-1 6-1 5-0 8-2 33 26 37
111.2 Marquette 0.5328 0.5686 32 10-6 15-15 2-2 7-11 1-6 2-5 2-1 5-1 4-2 8-4 124 112 109
159.8 Creighton 0.5052 0.5555 55 9-9 13-18 0-5 4-14 1-5 2-6 1-4 4-2 4-2 9-4 120 201 145
198.1 DePaul 0.4850 0.5391 85 9-9 11-20 3-2 5-13 1-4 2-6 1-4 3-3 5-2 6-7 290 319 183

BRACKETOLOGY
Big East Conference (4.9 Projected Bids)
Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Bid Odds Seed Projection Detail
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid Auto Bid At Large Bid Avg Seed 1-4 Seed 1 Seed
1 4 Villanova (16-1) 27-4 100% 48% 52% 2.1 95% 37%
6 22 Butler (13-5) 22-9 90% 15% 75% 6.7 21% 0%
8 30 Xavier (11-6) 19-12 73% 11% 62% 6.9 15% 0%
10 38 Providence (13-5) 19-12 54% 5% 49% 8.1 5% 0%
11 42 Seton Hall (13-4) 20-10 59% 5% 54% 9.0 3% 0%
12 46 Georgetown (11-5) 18-11 58% 8% 50% 9.5 2% 0%
St Johns (12-4) 20-11 46% 5% 40% 9.1 3% 0%
Creighton (9-9) 13-18 1% 1% 0% 13.2 0% 0%
Marquette (10-6) 15-15 7% 2% 5% 10.0 0% 0%
DePaul (9-9) 11-20 0% 0% 0% 13.5 0% 0%

[robinreed]

BRACKETOLOGY - ALL CONFERENCES
Projected NCAA Tournament Bids By Conference
Conference Projected Bids
ACC 6.7
Big 12 6.3
Big Ten 5.9
Big East 4.9
SEC 4.5
American 3.8
Pac-12 3.5
Atlantic 10 3.2
MVC 2.2
Mountain West 2.1
WCC 2.1

CUSA 1.7
MAC 1.5
CAA 1.1
MAAC 1.1
Horizon League 1.1
Southland 1.1
Big Sky 1.0
Southern 1.0
Sun Belt 1.0
Ohio Valley 1.0
Big West 1.0

Ivy 1.0
Patriot 1.0
Big South 1.0
America East 1.0
Northeast 1.0
Summit 1.0
MEAC 1.0
WAC 1.0
SWAC 1.0
Atlantic Sun 1.0
Independents 0.0

[Fieldhouse Flyer]

Congratulations to DePaul on an exciting OT win over St. John's.

St. John's, despite their 0-3 record, is in excellent shape:
They could go 8-10, and 1-1 in the BET, and their RPI would be at 43...!

To get to 8-10, they would need:
2 wins each vs DePaul, Creighton and Marquette, plus
2 home wins out of these 3 opponents --> Xavier, PC, and Seton Hall.
Anything beyond that is gravy, like stealing a road win at Butler, Georgetown, XU or PC.
BET would just be: W vs DePaul, L vs Villanova.

This gets them a 43 rpi and an NCAA bid.

Big East Standings

St. John's has now lost 4 of their last 5 games, and quite possibly their chance for an NCAA 'at-large' invitation.

[robinreed]

Big East Conference
Expected RPI: 2
Current RPI: 2
Current OOC Record: 92-29 (0.7603)
Expected OOC Record: 93-30 (0.7561)
Expected OOC RPI: 2
Expected OOC SOS: 3

RPI
7.2 Villanova 0.6451 0.5646 39 17-1 27-4 4-1 14-4 3-1 6-2 5-0 9-0 4-0 13-0 8 87 5
30.1 Xavier 0.5982 0.5824 13 12-6 20-11 3-3 10-8 2-3 5-3 5-2 7-2 3-0 9-4 32 33 35
32.6 Butler 0.5944 0.5654 37 13-6 21-10 4-3 12-7 3-3 4-3 2-2 8-1 5-0 9-3 70 150 14
32.7 Seton Hall 0.5949 0.5656 36 13-4 20-10 3-2 10-8 2-4 3-4 3-1 8-1 5-0 10-2 21 113 16
38.0 Providence 0.5879 0.5788 17 14-5 20-11 4-2 10-8 2-4 4-3 4-1 6-2 3-1 10-3 30 45 22
39.8 Georgetown 0.5862 0.5880 6 12-5 18-11 4-3 10-9 2-6 4-4 2-1 6-1 4-0 8-2 34 29 32
43.6 St. John's 0.5826 0.5761 20 11-4 20-10 1-3 9-9 1-5 4-3 4-1 5-1 5-0 10-2 26 53 34
113.1 Marquette 0.5318 0.5675 34 10-7 15-15 2-3 7-11 1-6 2-6 2-1 5-1 4-1 8-4 129 125 113
161.9 Creighton 0.5042 0.5585 48 9-10 12-19 0-6 3-15 1-5 1-7 1-3 4-2 4-2 9-4 112 181 151
195.7 DePaul 0.4861 0.5404 82 9-9 11-20 3-2 5-13 1-4 2-6 1-4 3-3 5-2 6-7 285 314 181


Big East Conference (4.9 Projected Bids)
Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Bid Odds Seed Projection Detail
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid Auto Bid At Large Bid Avg Seed 1-4 Seed 1 Seed
2 6 Villanova (17-1) 27-4 100% 47% 53% 2.2 95% 34%
7 25 Butler (13-6) 21-10 89% 15% 74% 7.1 17% 0%
8 30 Xavier (12-6) 20-11 74% 11% 63% 7.1 15% 0%
9 33 Providence (14-5) 20-11 65% 6% 59% 7.4 9% 0%
10 40 Georgetown (12-5) 18-11 67% 9% 59% 9.0 4% 0%
11 43 Seton Hall (13-4) 20-10 60% 5% 55% 8.8 4% 0%
St Johns (12-5) 19-12 32% 4% 28% 8.8 2% 0%
Creighton (9-10) 13-18 1% 1% 0% 13.4 0% 0%
Marquette (10-7) 15-15 6% 2% 4% 10.5 0% 0%
DePaul (10-9) 12-19 0% 0% 0% 14.3 0% 0%