RPI RANKING: FEEL FREE TO ADD OTHER RANKINGS

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Re: RPI RANKING: FEEL FREE TO ADD OTHER RPI RANKINGS

Postby stever20 » Thu Dec 11, 2014 9:25 am

cu blujs wrote:Unless the top four teams in the BE really seperate themselves fromt he next two or three, then if the BE has four teams with top 8 seeds in the tournament, we will have five in minimum. IMO, no way is a league good enough top to bottom to have four top 8 seeds and not have at least one or two others deserving of a 10, 11 or 12 seed - unless, like I said, those four are all like 13-5 or better and no one else is above .500 in the league.


It'll depend on the others and their records. If 5th place is 9-9(very realistic)- and they're like Providence who could have 4 losses entering conference play- 18-13 generally speaking does not get into the tournament. Georgetown would be 17-12. Seton Hall could be 20-10 in this scenario, but with really not much OOC. Any of those teams may very well have to win the QF in the BET to get in the tourney.
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Re: RPI RANKING: FEEL FREE TO ADD OTHER RPI RANKINGS

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Re: RPI RANKING: FEEL FREE TO ADD OTHER RPI RANKINGS

Postby Bill Marsh » Thu Dec 11, 2014 11:09 am

Things continue to be pretty volatile at RPI Forecast. As more and more games are played, everything gets recalculated. The loss to Immaculate Word and Michigan's loss to NJIT suddenly makes those teams not as strong a boost to the RPI as they had been. The Big East as a conference still looks great, but teams are scrambling in the rankings with ups and downs.

CONFERENCES

1. Big XII
2. Big East
3. Big 10
4. ACC
5. PAC-12
6. SEC
7. American
8. A10
9. West Coast
10. Mountain West

BIG EAST

14. Villanova
17. Butler
21. Xavier
32. Seton Hall
39. St. John's
51. Georgetown
81. Creighton
91. Providence
110. Marquette
146. DePaul
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Re: RPI RANKING: FEEL FREE TO ADD OTHER RPI RANKINGS

Postby BigMac » Thu Dec 11, 2014 6:11 pm

I know RealtimeRPI is horrible but this acutally looks about right right now:

1 Big 12 0.6126
2 Big East 0.5798
3 Big Ten 0.5780
4 Southeastern 0.5763
5 Atlantic Coast 0.5712
6 Pacific-12 0.5591
7 Atlantic 10 0.5484
8 West Coast 0.5339
9 American Athletic 0.5311
10 Mountain West 0.5302
11 Missouri Valley 0.5254
12 Mid-American 0.5072
13 Horizon League 0.5049
14 Colonial Athletic 0.4943
15 Big West 0.4893 0.4941
16 Ivy League 0.4869
17 Patriot League 0.4751
18 Conference USA 0.4735
19 Big South 0.4718 0.4903
20 Southland 0.4659
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Re: RPI RANKING: FEEL FREE TO ADD OTHER RPI RANKINGS

Postby robinreed » Thu Dec 11, 2014 11:22 pm

Conference: Big East


2014-15 RPI
RK (RPI) TEAM RPI D1 W-L SOS NCRP NCSS CFRP CFSS 1-25 26-50 51-100 L12 LRPI OFFQ DEFQ ASM
1 (15) Villanova .6494 9-0 124 25 128 170 233 1-0 1-0 0-0 9-0 23 10.9 14.0 24.9
2 (27) Seton Hall .6284 7-1 119 29 123 172 155 0-1 1-0 2-0 7-1 93 8.7 9.0 17.7
3 (47) St. John's .6015 6-1 157 56 159 167 133 0-1 0-0 1-0 6-1 10 6.1 13.7 19.8
4 (49) Butler .6002 8-1 170 1 212 13 4 0-0 1-1 2-0 8-1 47 8.6 17.2 25.8
5 (75) Marquette .5741 4-4 12 221 12 210 305 0-2 0-0 1-1 4-4 85 3.7 3.5 7.2
6 (86) Providence .5637 7-3 122 114 126 171 111 0-1 1-0 1-1 7-3 45 4.2 10.3 14.5
7 (89) Georgetown .5613 5-3 44 2 84 6 1 0-2 0-1 1-0 5-3 52 9.0 8.3 17.3
8 (95) Xavier .5562 7-2 195 91 197 157 342 1-0 0-1 2-1 7-2 125 18.9 3.0 21.8
9 (103) Creighton .5506 8-2 257 77 258 143 207 0-0 1-1 1-1 8-2 67 9.2 5.6 14.8
10 (178) DePaul .4950 6-1 326 78 329 110 323 0-0 0-0 1-0 6-1 340 15.9 1.8 17.
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Re: RPI RANKING: FEEL FREE TO ADD OTHER RPI RANKINGS

Postby robinreed » Thu Dec 11, 2014 11:35 pm

Although I believe the projected brackets (bracketology) are interesting and worthwile I fear an information overload on this thread. Therefore I will post this projection only once per week in future.

Projected Seed Current & Projected Record Bracketology Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid Auto Bid 1 Seed
1 1 Kentucky (10-0) 29-2 100% 75% 78%
1 2 Duke (8-0) 29-2 100% 49% 77%
1 3 Wisconsin (9-1) 27-4 100% 41% 40%
1 4 Louisville (8-0) 27-4 100% 23% 30%
2 5 Villanova (9-0) 27-4 99% 42% 22%
2 6 Ohio State (7-1) 26-5 99% 29% 20%
2 7 Gonzaga (8-1) 28-3 100% 70% 12%
2 8 Arizona (9-0) 27-4 99% 37% 18%
3 9 Wichita St (6-1) 25-3 99% 59% 11%
3 10 Texas (7-1) 25-6 98% 27% 20%
3 11 Virginia (9-0) 25-5 99% 10% 13%
3 12 Kansas (7-1) 24-7 99% 24% 15%
4 13 Utah (7-1) 24-6 99% 32% 9%
4 14 N Carolina (6-2) 23-8 99% 15% 7%
4 15 Iowa State (6-1) 21-9 86% 14% 5%
4 16 Arkansas (6-2) 23-8 81% 7% 3%
5 17 San Diego St (7-2) 25-6 91% 38% 1%
5 18 Butler (8-1) 23-8 89% 19% 2%
5 19 S Methodist (6-3) 22-8 89% 30% 1%
5 20 W Virginia (8-1) 22-9 85% 11% 2%
6 21 Baylor (8-1) 22-9 85% 9% 2%
6 22 Oklahoma (5-2) 20-10 83% 11% 2%
6 23 VCU (5-3) 23-8 83% 29% 0%
6 24 Michigan St (6-3) 22-9 85% 9% 2%
7 25 Illinois (7-2) 23-9 81% 7% 2%
7 26 Colorado St (9-0) 25-6 75% 19% 0%
7 27 Florida (4-4) 21-10 80% 10% 1%
7 28 Xavier (7-2) 21-10 75% 13% 0%
8 29 Maryland (9-1) 22-9 74% 4% 0%
8 30 N Iowa (9-0) 24-6 73% 18% 0%
8 31 Stanford (4-2) 19-11 61% 9% 1%
8 32 Miami (FL) (9-1) 22-9 71% 1% 0%
9 33 BYU (7-3) 23-8 75% 19% 0%
9 34 Evansville (7-1) 24-6 63% 17% 0%
9 35 Iowa (8-2) 21-10 68% 5% 0%
9 36 Georgetown (5-3) 18-11 66% 11% 0%
10 37 WI-Grn Bay (6-2) 22-7 65% 48% 0%
10 38 Connecticut (3-3) 19-11 66% 36% 0%
10 39 Georgia St (6-2) 25-6 84% 66% 0%
10 40 Harvard (7-1) 21-7 62% 55% 0%
11 41 UCSB (4-4) 22-8 71% 51% 0%
11 42 Old Dominion (6-1) 25-5 52% 29% 0%
11 43 Washington (7-0) 21-9 48% 4% 0%
11 44 Cincinnati (6-1) 21-10 54% 13% 0%
12 45 Buffalo (5-2) 21-9 51% 27% 0%
12 46 NC State (7-1) 19-12 47% 1% 0%
12 47 California (8-1) 21-10 45% 4% 0%
12 48 Geo Wshgtn (5-2) 21-8 46% 18% 0%
13 49 Iona (5-3) 24-7 57% 43% 0%
13 50 E Washingtn (7-1) 25-6 60% 49% 0%
13 51 UCLA (8-2) 19-12 48% 6% 0%
13 52 Davidson (7-1) 20-9 44% 14% 0%
13 53 Purdue (8-2) 20-11 39% 2% 0%
14 54 N Mex State (4-5) 22-9 76% 75% 0%
14 55 Ste F Austin (6-3) 25-6 57% 54% 0%
14 56 Minnesota (8-2) 20-11 39% 2% 0%
14 57 Notre Dame (9-1) 22-9 36% 1% 0%
14 58 Fla Gulf Cst (8-1) 22-8 44% 43% 0%
15 59 NC Central (6-4) 24-6 69% 69% 0%
15 60 Wofford (7-2) 23-8 46% 41% 0%
15 61 Coastal Car (6-2) 23-7 49% 49% 0%
15 62 Hofstra (7-2) 23-8 33% 28% 0%
16 63 TX Southern (1-6) 14-17 44% 44% 0%
16 64 Vermont (4-4) 18-11 40% 40% 0%
16 65 American (5-4) 19-11 31% 29% 0%
16 66 E Kentucky (4-3) 20-9 29% 29% 0%
16 67 S Dakota St (5-3) 18-12 25% 24% 0%
16 68 St Fran (PA) (4-4) 16-13 21% 21%

Big East Conference (4.5 Projected Bids)
Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Bid Odds Seed Projection Detail
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid Auto Bid At Large Bid Avg Seed 1-4 Seed 1 Seed
2 5 Villanova (9-0) 27-4 99% 42% 57% 3.2 79% 22%
5 18 Butler (8-1) 23-8 89% 19% 70% 6.4 28% 2%
7 28 Xavier (7-2) 21-10 75% 13% 62% 7.6 13% 0%
9 36 Georgetown (5-3) 18-11 66% 11% 55% 8.6 7% 0%
Providence (7-3) 16-15 16% 2% 14% 9.8 1% 0%
St Johns (7-1) 18-13 36% 4% 32% 9.4 3% 0%
Seton Hall (7-1) 18-12 36% 4% 32% 9.2 3% 0%
Creighton (8-2) 19-12 24% 3% 21% 10.0 1% 0%
Marquette (4-4) 14-16 10% 2% 9% 9.8 0% 0%
DePaul (6-1) 11-18 1% 0% 1% 11.5 0% 0%
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Re: RPI RANKING: FEEL FREE TO ADD OTHER RPI RANKINGS

Postby robinreed » Sat Dec 13, 2014 12:20 am

Men's Basketball - Big East (2014-2015)
REAL TIME AND ESPN BIG EAST RPI RANKINGS

Conf. RPI Rank: 2 Conf. SOS Rank: 7

Only games against Division I opponents are counted.
Teams that made the tournament are in bold
This page updates daily.
Last updated - Fri Dec 12 13:08:56 PST 2014
View Power Ratings View Real Time RPIsvip
RPI Rk Big East Conf All RPI SOS Rk SOS
Down 1 From Last Week 15 Seton Hall 0-0 7-1 0.6566 49 0.5755
Up 14 From Last WeekUp 14 From Last Week 18 Villanova 0-0 9-0 0.6542 103 0.5389
Down 23 From Last WeekDown 23 From Last Week 42 Butler 0-0 8-1 0.6067 140 0.5207
Down 15 From Last WeekDown 15 From Last Week 60 St. John's 0-0 6-1 0.5930 106 0.5378
Up 36 From Last WeekUp 36 From Last Week 77 Marquette 0-0 4-4 0.5687 18 0.6179
Up 4 From Last Week 80 Xavier 0-0 7-2 0.5679 134 0.5248
Down 51 From Last WeekDown 51 From Last Week 91 Providence 0-0 7-3 0.5622 125 0.5303
Down 15 From Last WeekDown 15 From Last Week 93 Georgetown 0-0 5-3 0.5618 41 0.5824
Down 27 From Last WeekDown 27 From Last Week 116 Creighton 0-0 8-2 0.5396 255 0.4563
Down 7 From Last Week 159 DePaul 0-0 6-2 0.5062 267 0.4457

2014-15 RPI
RK (RPI) TEAM RPI D1 W-L SOS NCRP NCSS CFRP CFSS 1-25 26-50 51-100 L12 LRPI OFFQ DEFQ ASM
1 (15) Villanova .6507 9-0 126 26 131 150 234 1-0 1-0 0-0 9-0 21 10.8 13.9 24.7
2 (26) Seton Hall .6320 7-1 117 29 121 153 156 0-1 2-0 1-0 7-1 91 8.6 8.9 17.5
3 (45) Butler .6057 8-1 158 1 200 13 4 0-0 1-1 2-0 8-1 46 8.6 17.1 25.7
4 (48) St. John's .6030 6-1 152 56 154 146 134 0-1 0-0 1-0 6-1 10 6.0 13.7 19.6
5 (73) Marquette .5757 4-4 12 219 12 192 302 0-2 0-1 1-0 4-4 81 3.6 3.4 7.0
6 (82) Providence .5678 7-3 113 118 118 155 112 0-1 1-0 1-0 7-3 39 4.1 10.3 14.3
7 (86) Georgetown .5630 5-3 39 2 83 5 1 0-2 0-1 1-0 5-3 50 8.9 8.2 17.1
8 (92) Xavier .5602 7-2 181 88 184 139 342 1-0 0-1 2-1 7-2 119 18.8 3.0 21.7
9 (102) Creighton .5518 8-2 258 78 259 122 208 0-0 1-1 1-1 8-2 67 9.1 5.5 14.6
10 (156) DePaul .5070 6-2 295 102 301 107 320 0-0 0-1 1-0 6-2 199 14.4 0.3 14.7
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Re: RPI RANKING: FEEL FREE TO ADD OTHER RPI RANKINGS

Postby robinreed » Sat Dec 13, 2014 12:28 am

BIG EAST PROJECTED BID AND SEED

Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Bid Odds Seed Projection Detail
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid Auto Bid At Large Bid Avg Seed 1-4 Seed 1 Seed
2 5 Villanova (9-0) 27-4 99% 41% 58% 3.2 78% 21%
5 18 Butler (8-1) 23-8 89% 20% 70% 6.3 29% 2%
7 27 Xavier (7-2) 21-10 76% 13% 63% 7.4 14% 1%
10 38 Georgetown (5-3) 18-11 65% 11% 55% 8.5 7% 0%
Providence (7-3) 16-15 15% 2% 13% 9.9 1% 0%
St Johns (7-1) 18-13 36% 4% 32% 9.6 2% 0%
Seton Hall (7-1) 18-12 35% 4% 31% 9.3 2% 0%
Creighton (8-2) 19-12 25% 3% 21% 9.8 1% 0%
Marquette (4-4) 14-16 11% 2% 9% 9.7 0% 0%
DePaul (6-2) 11-18 1% 0% 0% 12.1 0% 0%
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Re: RPI RANKING: FEEL FREE TO ADD OTHER RPI RANKINGS

Postby robinreed » Sun Dec 14, 2014 9:33 am

RPI REAL TIME

Only games against Division I opponents are counted.
Teams that made the tournament are in bold
This page updates daily.
Last updated - Sat Dec 13 13:30:44 PST 2014
View Power Ratings View Real Time RPIsvip
RPI Rk Big East Conf All RPI SOS Rk SOS
Down 2 From Last Week 16 Seton Hall 0-0 7-1 0.6566 48 0.5755
Up 14 From Last WeekUp 14 From Last Week 18 Villanova 0-0 9-0 0.6540 106 0.5387
Down 24 From Last WeekDown 24 From Last Week 43 Butler 0-0 8-1 0.6066 139 0.5205
Down 18 From Last WeekDown 18 From Last Week 63 St. John's 0-0 6-1 0.5883 121 0.5315
Up 7 From Last Week 77 Xavier 0-0 7-2 0.5684 133 0.5256
Up 30 From Last WeekUp 30 From Last Week 83 Marquette 0-0 4-4 0.5645 19 0.6123
Down 8 From Last Week 86 Georgetown 0-0 5-3 0.5633 41 0.5844
Down 49 From Last WeekDown 49 From Last Week 89 Providence 0-0 7-3 0.5622 122 0.5303
Down 27 From Last WeekDown 27 From Last Week 116 Creighton 0-0 8-2 0.5390 257 0.4555
Down 6 From Last Week 158 DePaul 0-0 6-2 0.5054 272 0.4447

RPI ESPN

2014-15 RPI
RK (RPI) TEAM RPI D1 W-L SOS NCRP NCSS CFRP CFSS 1-25 26-50 51-100 L12 LRPI OFFQ DEFQ ASM
1 (16) Villanova .6497 9-0 129 26 131 140 286 1-0 0-0 2-0 9-0 26 10.9 13.9 24.7
2 (17) Seton Hall .6436 7-1 83 35 87 150 160 0-1 2-0 1-0 7-1 78 8.8 9.0 17.8
3 (44) Butler .6027 8-1 162 1 216 14 5 1-0 0-1 2-0 8-1 45 8.6 17.2 25.8
4 (46) St. John's .5984 6-1 156 55 161 125 138 0-1 0-0 1-0 6-1 10 6.0 13.6 19.6
5 (60) Xavier .5834 8-2 150 73 154 130 342 1-0 0-1 2-1 8-2 110 18.0 4.0 21.9
6 (67) Georgetown .5800 6-3 33 2 60 9 3 0-2 0-1 1-0 6-3 36 9.4 9.8 19.3
7 (74) Providence .5717 8-3 124 107 125 141 115 0-1 1-0 1-0 8-3 35 5.2 10.3 15.5
8 (76) Marquette .5711 4-4 13 227 14 176 238 0-1 0-2 1-0 4-4 77 3.7 3.4 7.1
9 (124) Creighton .5379 8-3 209 115 209 116 260 0-0 1-0 1-3 8-3 83 8.6 4.9 13.5
10 (168) DePaul .4986 6-2 309 101 313 82 256 0-0 0-1 1-0 6-2 200 14.8 0.1 14.9
I have always suspected the ESPN RPI rating but today's ranking actually appears more correct than REAL TIME. The position of nova and the hall are both reasonable however RT rating Marquette 6th with a 4-4 record seems less accurate than ESPN rating them in 8th.
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Re: RPI RANKING: FEEL FREE TO ADD OTHER RPI RANKINGS

Postby Bill Marsh » Sun Dec 14, 2014 10:13 am

After Saturday's games, things continue to get shaken up on RPI Forecast, but the Big East remains strong, continuing to enhance their SOS as we get close to the conference season. The league now nas 3 teams in the top 20 and 6 in line for tournament bids.

CONFERENCES

1. Big XII
2. Big East
3. Big 10
4. ACC
5.Pac-12
6. SEC
7. West Coast
8. A10
9. AAC
10. Mountain West

BIF EAST

15. Butler
16. Villanova
19. Xavier
34. Georgetown
37. Seton Hall
43. St. John's
80. Providence
99. Creighton
113. Marquette
147. DePaul
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Re: RPI RANKING: FEEL FREE TO ADD OTHER RPI RANKINGS

Postby Bill Marsh » Mon Dec 15, 2014 12:28 pm

Here's the latest from RPI Forecast, incorporating Sunday's results, Butler and DePaul dropping a little bit:

CONFERENCES

1. Big 12
2. Big East
3. Big 10
4. ACC
5. Pac-12
6. SEC
7. West Coast
8. A10
9. AAC
10. Mountain West

BIG EAST

14. Villanova
18. Xavier
20. Butler
33. Seton Hall
35. Georgetown
41. St. John's
81. Providence
102. Creighton
111. Marquette
168. DePaul
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