DudeAnon wrote:Get used to it people. ESPN is a business and I don't foresee their coverage changing. We do need to expand though so we can stop beating each other up with our conference schedule.
notkirkcameron wrote:Break it down. This year, the conventional wisdom has been, yea, the AAC has more teams in the Top 25, but the Big East's bottom half is better. Losing to any one of the teams in the AAC not ranked in the Top 25 would be considered a "bad loss" on a tournament resume. But a closer examination of the numbers reveals that's only half the truth.
Average RPI of the Top Half of the Big East: 33 (Villanova 4, Creighton 7, Xavier 48, Georgetown 53, Providence 54)
Average RPI of the Top Half of the American: 28 (Cincinnati 15, Louisville 21, UConn 28, Memphis 29, SMU 45)
So the Top half of the American, which supposedly is head and shoulders above the Big East's bubble teams, really isn't. an average of 4 RPI spots higher.
As for the bottom...
Average RPI of the Bottom Half of the Big East: 118 (STJ 57, Marq 85, Butler 138, Hall 148, DePaul 162)
Average RPI of the Bottom Half of the American: 197 (Houston 157, Temple 163, Rutgers 203, USF 217, UCF 223)
Yikes. A difference of nearly 70 spots in the RPI on average. Put another way, St. John's is still on the bubble. Marquette was still on the bubble last week. When was the last time anybody talked about Houston or Temple?
Next year, the disparity only gets worse. Let's assume similar RPI standings to this year, but with Louisville and Rutgers subbed out for Tulsa (94), East Carolina (218), and Tulane (222).
Average RPI of the Top Five of the Big East: 33 (See above)
Average RPI of the Top Five of the American (It's an 11-team league): 42 (Cincinnati 15, UConn 28, Memphis 29, SMU 45, Tulsa 94)
Dropping Louisville and adding Tulsa raised the Top Half of the American's average RPI FOURTEEN spots. And this calculation assumes 1.) That MU and GTown don't reload and return to the levels of success they've had over the last decade. 2.) That SMU will defy expectations and continue to not be the team that hasn't won an NCAA Tournament game since they were a member of the Southwest Conference.
Looking at the bottom? I think you know where this is going.
Average RPI of the Bottom Half of the Big East: 118 (see above)
Average RPI of the Bottom Six (It's an 11-team league) of the American: 200 (Houston 157, Temple 163, USF 217, East Carolina 218, Tulane 222, UCF 223)
The bottom half of the American isn't getting any better (it's somehow getting worse). And the top half is likely going to get worse too. It's not entirely crazy to say that half the teams in the bottom half of the American would be a buy game for any team in the bottom half of the Big East. Let the American Apparel or whatever they're calling it have this year. I'll take the future.
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