Westbrook36 wrote:GumbyDamnit! wrote:Lavinwood wrote:
If any team has benefited from calls en route to the #4 ranking which was clearly overrated with 2 bad losses and 1 close escape from SJ, it's Nova. Still a good team but not a top 10 IMO. I see them as a more consistent 15-20 team. I think the law of averages are evening out.
Scratch that I thought Nova lost. But my point remains…they will end up a 15-20 team.
OK I'll bite. Name me 14 teams that are better than them Carnac.
He can't, he might list 14 or 15 teams, but half of those will be complete BS. On the other hand, if there's one fan base that knows what overrated looks like, it would St. John's fans. You know that team with all that "talent".
I think what he meant was that they don't "look" like a #4 team. Nova got off to a red-hot start but they seem to be slowing up. Some teams peak early, some peak late. Nova is still a very good team, but a 3-0 record in OT and countless other wins in the single digits including Butler and SJ both of whom they easily could have lost to doesn't give you that "dominant" feel a top 10 team should have. I think ultimately Creighton will end up being the best team with Nova 2nd and Xavier 3rd. At some point you start to lose those nail biters. Nova has found a way to win all of them. SJ and Butler are the ones who lost all of those close ones. By the season's end it will all even out.
I think we only have a chance vs. Creighton if we can "hold" them to 40-45% from 3. That's still a good percentage but the way they shoot, it gives us a chance instead of shooting 3's like FT's like against Nova. We will also need to be able to neutralize some of the Creighton 3's. If Creighton is ice cold from beyond the arc, I become much more confident. My gut tells me to expect a 20+ pt loss, but hey we just blew out Butler where they say no one can win, so who knows?