stever20 wrote:I think Bill for one- if you only have 17-18 wins now- you generally speaking will have 14-15 losses. All teams are playing 31-32 games at least, so if you have 18 wins playing 32 games- you have 14 losses. You almost have to get to the 20 wins so you have only 11-12 losses.
just looking last 4 tournaments-
2013- 3 12+ loss teams made tournament(all had 20 wins)
2012- 7 12+ loss teams made tournament(all but 2 had 20 wins)
2011- 7 12+ loss teams made tournament(2/7 had 20 wins, other 5 had 19)
2010- 4 12+ loss teams made touranment(all had 20 wins)
So, of the 21 teams last 4 years with 12+ losses that made the tourny, 14 of those teams had 20+ wins. Only 7 had fewer, and all had at least 19 wins.
Also, the committee has totally de-emphasized how a team is playing towards the tourney. Great case in point was a few years ago Nova when they went off the deep end, but still got a 9 seed.
stever20 wrote:It's possible- but I think it's kind of hard to see Butler and Xavier winning only 8 and 6 games respectively(and Seton Hall DePaul only 3 and 2).
Also- and I wouldn't have said this last week- I don't know that Nova only wins 13 games.
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