KENPOM RATINGS 2020-21

[DudeAnon]

There is probably a better conference to compare us against, Big East has been a top 3 conference year in and year out. A-10 has been between 7-10 year in and year out. And these numbers just prove that. Over half the league is worse than our worst team.

[Omaha1]

There is probably a better conference to compare us against, Big East has been a top 3 conference year in and year out. A-10 has been between 7-10 year in and year out. And these numbers just prove that. Over half the league is worse than our worst team.

I was going to post the same thing. I get that you want us all to see the BE and A10 on the same list, but they’re night and day different. Please stop.

[BEXU]

Hopefully, VD will find a team to play this year. That will be lucky.

[Hall2012]

Saint Louis is impressive so far. They look to be answering the "basketball success" question and with a few more seasons to show some consistency they can put a lot of space between themselves and the field as the clear #1 candidate for if the Big East ever chooses to expand again.

[Fieldhouse Flyer]

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2021 Pomeroy College Basketball Ratings – Kenpom.com – Data through games of Monday, November 30, 2020

4. Villanova (2-1)
17. Creighton (1-0)
28. Marquette (2-0)
48. Seton Hall (1-1)
51. UConn (2-0)
61. Providence (1-1)
63. Butler (1-0)
65. Xavier (4-0)
74. St. John's (3-0)
81. DePaul (0-0)
89. Georgetown (1-0)
115. Toledo (1-2)
118. Bradley (2-1)
189. Eastern Kentucky (2-1)
298. Oakland (0-4)

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The 2020-21 edition of the Xavier Musketeers is becoming an fascinating case study in Probability theory. To wit:

Oakland at Xavier 12pm Line: Xavier -22

Wed. Nov. 25: Xavier 101, Oakland 49

Bradley @ Xavier, 12pm Line: Xavier -9

Thu. Nov. 26: Xavier 51, Bradley 50

Toledo @ Xavier, 12pm Line: Xavier -10

Fri. Nov. 27: Xavier 76, Toledo73

Eastern Kentucky @ Xavier, 7pm Line: Xavier -15

Mon. Nov. 30: Xavier 99, Eastern Kentucky 96, OT

In the ratings, Luck is defined as the deviation in winning percentage between a team’s actual record and their expected record using the correlated gaussian method. The luck factor has nothing to do with the rating calculation, but a team that is very lucky (positive numbers) will tend to be rated lower by my system than their record would suggest.

2021 Pomeroy College Basketball Ratings - TEAMS RANKED IN ORDER OF LUCK – Kenpom.com – Data through games of Friday, November 27, 2020

Luck Ranking • Team • (W-L) • Luck • Kenpom Rating

1. Xavier (3-0) +.256 • 65

2021 Pomeroy College Basketball Ratings - TEAMS RANKED IN ORDER OF LUCK – Kenpom.com – Data through games of Monday, November 30, 2020

Luck Ranking • Team • (W-L) • Luck • Kenpom Rating

1. Xavier (4-0) +.276 • 65

It will be interesting to see how long Xavier’s luck continues – a duration which is unpredictable, but is being tracked daily by the KenPom Ratings. There is insufficient data available to conduct any meaningful analysis, but I’ll revisit this topic in due course after more games have been played.

[BEXU]

VD 66-63 over powerhouse EIU.?

[X-man]

Someone on another thread asked why Flyer posts so much on this Big East board. This thread reveals the answer. Flyer is just one of your run-of-the-mill Xavier-obsessed VD fans. Sad.

[Savannah Jay]

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2021 Pomeroy College Basketball Ratings – Kenpom.com – Data through games of Monday, November 30, 2020

4. Villanova (2-1)
17. Creighton (1-0)
28. Marquette (2-0)
48. Seton Hall (1-1)
51. UConn (2-0)
61. Providence (1-1)
63. Butler (1-0)
65. Xavier (4-0)
74. St. John's (3-0)
81. DePaul (0-0)
89. Georgetown (1-0)
115. Toledo (1-2)
118. Bradley (2-1)
189. Eastern Kentucky (2-1)
298. Oakland (0-4)

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The 2020-21 edition of the Xavier Musketeers is becoming an fascinating case study in Probability theory. To wit:

Oakland at Xavier 12pm Line: Xavier -22

Wed. Nov. 25: Xavier 101, Oakland 49

Bradley @ Xavier, 12pm Line: Xavier -9

Thu. Nov. 26: Xavier 51, Bradley 50

Toledo @ Xavier, 12pm Line: Xavier -10

Fri. Nov. 27: Xavier 76, Toledo73

Eastern Kentucky @ Xavier, 7pm Line: Xavier -15

Mon. Nov. 30: Xavier 99, Eastern Kentucky 96, OT

In the ratings, Luck is defined as the deviation in winning percentage between a team’s actual record and their expected record using the correlated gaussian method. The luck factor has nothing to do with the rating calculation, but a team that is very lucky (positive numbers) will tend to be rated lower by my system than their record would suggest.

2021 Pomeroy College Basketball Ratings - TEAMS RANKED IN ORDER OF LUCK – Kenpom.com – Data through games of Friday, November 27, 2020

Luck Ranking • Team • (W-L) • Luck • Kenpom Rating

1. Xavier (3-0) +.256 • 65

2021 Pomeroy College Basketball Ratings - TEAMS RANKED IN ORDER OF LUCK – Kenpom.com – Data through games of Monday, November 30, 2020

Luck Ranking • Team • (W-L) • Luck • Kenpom Rating

1. Xavier (4-0) +.276 • 65

It will be interesting to see how long Xavier’s luck continues – a duration which is unpredictable, but is being tracked daily by the KenPom Ratings. There is insufficient data available to conduct any meaningful analysis, but I’ll revisit this topic in due course after more games have been played.

So, what you're trying to tell us is that Xavier is undefeated. That's good, i think.

[Xuperman]

Someone on another thread asked why Flyer posts so much on this Big East board. This thread reveals the answer. Flyer is just one of your run-of-the-mill Xavier-obsessed VD fans. Sad.

Of course he is. I truly was hoping to hear his reason for posting here, but nah. He knows there are NO good reasons and is not willing to expose himself.

[Django]

Guys, I understand you hate Dayton, I also would be annoyed if a Wichita fan posted on here with subtle stever-type digs promoting his team.

But I've never seen Flyer post anything derogatory against X, and frankly I find a lot of the data interesting. Also, Dayton, along with St. Louis, was very close to being invited to this conference and since its inception have done very well (also feel they got robbed more than any other team last year). Now as far as your constant and almost daily attacks and insults (VD?) you're not doing yourselves any favors, and in fact only make yourselves and your fan base look tasteless.

Now if I'm wrong and you can find a post on here where he's insulted you or the conference I stand mistaken, but until then you might want to stop, because you're only making Flyer more likeable on here.

Just my 2 cents.