by GoldenWarrior11 » Tue Jul 07, 2020 11:29 am
There is a hybrid answer that is not one of the options, but I'll explain below.
I believe there will be college football, college basketball and all college sports this year - on-time and with regular schedules. However, I also think there will be many schools and institutions that will inevitably choose that they cannot, or will not, be participating. For college football this Fall, I think there are many institutions that are hoping the season gets canceled (for a variety of reasons); however, no one wants to jump off the diving board first - they will be waiting for someone else, or another group, to go first. Similarly, there are many schools that need (and want) football to go on this Fall - and will do everything they can to ensure that it does happen (within the given parameters). I do think many of the cross-country road trips for football will get cut (i.e. Washington/Michigan). The NCAA will not come out and cancel a season again - they simply cannot afford to.
For college basketball, the "luxury" of preseason tournaments certainly does not seem like a necessity right now. I think schools/programs can definitely do a better job of securing more regional or in-state matchups to help with travel and create more de-facto bubbles, per se. Basketball, administratively, is much easier than football.
The biggest problem is the negative PR and perception of schools making that jump, however, not to play. Any macro decision will need to be made in conjunction and in unison with the other larger powers-that-be; I just don't see another full-fledged shut down or elimination of sports again. The P5 already sound committed to playing football this Fall; for many G5 programs? Maybe there are teams within the P5 that choose not to move forward. Who knows. A variety of businesses/schools/corporate systems would crash and never recover. Difficult to see any of them signing their own death certificate though.