Re: Accountability at St. John's
Posted: Mon Jan 23, 2017 10:37 am
stever20 wrote:so looking at St John's right now.....
Ken Pom has 4 factors that he feels is important.
effective FG pct
Turnover pct
Offensive Reb pct
FT rate
for SJ- offense-
eFG%- up from 45.4 to 50.9%- up from 321 to 152. major plus
TO%- down from 20.9 to 18.2% up from 322 to 157. major plus
ORb%- up from 27.5 to 28.2%- up from 249 to 202. small plus
FTR- down from 38.0 to 35.0%- down from 134 to 175. small negative
so overall you would say the offense is much improved.
for SJ defense-
eFG%- down from 51.1 to 49.5%. up from 231 to 138. moderate plus.
TO%- down from 20.1 to 19.7%. down from 61 to 124. moderate negative.
ORb%- up from 30.9 to 31.8%. down from 232 to 274. small negative(even though it's improved, not as much as a lot of teams)
FTR- down from 43.3 to 35.2%. up from 307 to 174. major plus
so I think I'd say the defense is improved as well- but not quite as much as with the offense.
as far as hoopers point on players being now upperclassmen equiv- that's fine except for the fact that the 2 guys who man the guard position are both frosh. And overall the roster is so inexperienced- in KP they are 347 of 351 in terms of experience.
Interesting stats...a few takeaways: 1) we rely way too much on jump shots 2) we cannot rebound because our bigs are 150 lbs and Yakwe is awful 3) our defense is awful. Yes, Ponds and LoVett are freshmen...but they've played like upperclassmen much of the season so what's the point in mentioning how young they are? They are not the problem most nights. The problem is we are getting killed in the paint and we have no offensive threat in the paint. We cannot rebound to save our lives. Delgado was laughing all game...probably thought it was light work. He got 17 rebounds in what like 15 minutes?
We are a program that fired a coach who got us three 20 win seasons and 2 tourney bids in 5 years. Now, I totally agree with firing Lavin...he still should have been better here with what he had and his teams no showed in big games in tourneys plus no player development. But firing a coach with those results shows that we have high expectations as a program. We don't just want a few good regular seasons...we want to win tourney games. I feel like with the Mullin era it's lulling most of our fanbase into sleep. We used to be upset when we barely won 20 games fighting on the bubble...now we are happy when we are barely better than the worst season ever? You can look at the KenPom numbers but at the same time the only numbers that matter are W/L. If prettier numbers don't lead to wins then what's the point? If anything, better stats with similar poor results is an indictment on the coach. By the way, Ponds had a post last night on Instagram saying he's not happy and he's "thinking about a lot of things". LoVett is already expected to try to go pro somewhere after this year...if Ponds transferred or tried to go pro as well after this yr, it would be devastating.
NJRedman, just putting it very blunt: if we fail to win 15 games next year will you be disappointed or move the goalpost and rationalize it? Honestly curious.