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stever20 wrote:so lets look at the Ken Pom Offensive rating for the A+B level games(considered top 100 level team on a neutral court)

Ohio St 108
Memphis 137
Virginia 94
Rhode Island 88
Xavier 22

UMass is not good. Yes, they're 10-3. But that's against #286 OOC SOS in Ken Pom, #139 current OOC SOS in RPI, and projected 166 OOC in RPI Forecast. They may finish top 100 RPI, but being a home game- that's not considered an a or b level game.

I think looking at it- and taking into account billyjacks comments about Maine Wagner- fatigue may be coming into play....

in November- he played 7 games. His average offensive rating game was 112.7. Avg opponent in November in Ken Pom was 151.9.
In December he played 7 games. His average offensive rating game was 80.7. Avg opponent in December in Ken Pom was 171.3.

and more so- look at the shooting....
in November he shot 52-105. 49.5%
in December he shot 32-87. 36.8%

And it's been much more just these last 4 games....
1st 10 games- avg opp 149.3 Avg off rating 111.6. shooting 71-142 overall 50%
last 4 games- avg opp 192.3. Avg off rating 59.5(with 3 of 4 worst games) shooting 13-50 26%.

Bill Marsh wrote:

milksteak wrote:

stever20 wrote:so Providence/Xavier last night. Was that Xavier looking incredible, or Providence looking like what a lot of us thought preseason- a 7th or 8th place team?

Bullock is the heart and soul of that team. Xavier shut him down last night. Providence's success moving forward will be largely dependent on Bullock. I still think they're the 6th team in this league.

Could be 8th.

milksteak wrote:

Bill Marsh wrote:

milksteak wrote:
Bullock is the heart and soul of that team. Xavier shut him down last night. Providence's success moving forward will be largely dependent on Bullock. I still think they're the 6th team in this league.

Could be 8th.

I am not convinced the Providence is worse than Marquette AND Georgetown. Those two programs have a lot more to prove right now than Providence.