The Holy Land of Hoops

Updated bracket. Only 5 games on Saturday remain.

Movement since Sunday:
Providence +1
Georgetown +1
DePaul +1

Seton Hall -1
Butler -2

tourney scenarios-
Villanova clinched #1 seed

Providence- win #2.
loss and St John's win- Georgetown win, 5 seed. (2 way tie with St John's- SJ has 2-0 season edge)
loss and St John's win- Georgetown loss 4 seed. (3 way tie with SJ, Geo- SJ 3-1, PC 2-2, Geo 1-3)
Loss and St John's loss- Georgetown win- 4 seed.
Loss and St John's loss- Georgetown loss- 3 seed. (2 way tie with Geo- PC has 2-0 season edge)

Georgetown-
Win and PC loss, #2.
Win and PC win, #3.
Loss and PC loss, SJ win- 5 seed. (3 way tie with PC, SJ- SJ 3-1, PC 2-2, Geo 1-3)
Loss and PC loss, SJ loss, 4 seed. (2 way tie with PC- PC has 2-0 season edge)
Loss and PC win, SJ loss- 3 seed (2 way tie with But- Geo has 2-0 season edge)
Loss and PC win, SJ win- 4 seed (3 way tie with SJ, But- Geo has 3-1 season record)

Butler-
Win and Georgetown loss, 2 seed.
Win and Georgetown win- 3 seed (2 way tie- 1-1 season, Geo has win over Nova)
Loss and Georgetown win 4 seed (if SJ wins- 2 way tie- But 2-0 season edge, if SJ loses, But 11-7, SJ 10-8)
Loss and Georgetown loss, SJ win 4 seed (3 way tie- Geo 3-1, But 2-2, SJ 1-3)
Loss and Georgetown loss, SJ loss, 4 seed(2 way tie- Geo 2-0 season edge)
(so long story short, loss= 4 seed)
St John's-
loss 5 seed
win and Georgetown loss, Butler loss- 5 seed (3 way tie- Geo 3-1, But 2-2, SJ 1-3)
win and Butler win, Georgetown loss- 3 seed (3 way tie- SJ 3-1, PC 2-2, Geo 1-3)
win and Butler win, Georgetown win- 4 seed (2 way tie- SJ 2-0 vs PC)

Xavier- clinched 6 seed

DePaul-
Win or Seton Hall loss, 7 seed
Loss and Seton Hall win, 8 seed

Seton Hall-
Win and DePaul loss, 7 seed
Loss or DePaul win, 8 seed

Creighton-
win or Marquette loss, 9 seed
Loss and Marquette win 10 seed

Marquette
win and Creighton loss, 9 seed
loss or Creighton win, 10 seed

DePaul needs to beat Marquette at the BMO Harris Bradley Center on 3/7/2015 to ensure they stay at #7 in conference. They'll have to play Marquette twice in a row if they win @ Marquette on Saturday. Unless Seton Hall loses to Georgetown on Saturday also.

Nice work MUBasketball and stever20 – much appreciated.

As Xavier (18-12) already has a lock on the # 6 seed, I wonder who Chris Mack would want to play in the Musketeers’ opening BET game, bearing in mind that it is hard to beat a good team three times in one season:

• Georgetown (who Xavier has twice beaten),

• St. John’s (who Xavier has twice lost to), or

• Providence (with whom Xavier has split)

Xavier Musketeers – RPI Breakdown: http://www.cbssports.com/collegebasketb ... musketeers

Xavier Musketeers – RPI Forecast with Big East Tourney Included: http://www.rpiforecast.com/teams/ct/Xavier.html

RPI Forecast shows conflicting projections for Xavier.

In the top box, Xavier is projected to finish with a 20-13 record (meaning a win at Creighton and a first-round BET win over the # 3 seed), resulting in an expected RPI Ranking of 45.7.

The second box (RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD), shows that the most likely record for Xavier is 19-13 (35% probability; meaning a win at Creighton and a first-round BET loss to the # 3 seed), resulting in an expected RPI Ranking of 52.8

The second-most likely record for Xavier is 18-14 (16% probability; meaning a loss at Creighton and a first-round BET loss to the # 3 seed), resulting in an expected RPI Ranking of 63.6.

The second box also shows that 20-13 is the fourth-most likely record for Xavier, with a 14% probability.

It will be interesting to see how this plays out.