A note about forecasts
Posted: Mon Mar 03, 2014 9:11 am
I live in Connecticut. On Friday, the weather service predicted that we would get 8 inches of snow on Monday. By Saturday, it was down to 4 inches. Still too much for me to drive down to the Canisius - Manhaatan game that I had planned to attend.
By Sunday the prediction was down to an inch. Enough for me to risk it. Great game. Manhattan won by 5 in the last minute as predicted. The snow? Still haven't seen a flake.
The point?
Forecasts can be wrong . . . and often are.
There's been a lot of discussion here about how the season will end and how the tournament will play out. Some of it has referenced statistical analysis like RPIForecast.com. I'm as guilty as anyone. But if these stats could predict the final outcome, there would be no need to play the games.
Enjoy the games!
By Sunday the prediction was down to an inch. Enough for me to risk it. Great game. Manhattan won by 5 in the last minute as predicted. The snow? Still haven't seen a flake.
The point?
Forecasts can be wrong . . . and often are.
There's been a lot of discussion here about how the season will end and how the tournament will play out. Some of it has referenced statistical analysis like RPIForecast.com. I'm as guilty as anyone. But if these stats could predict the final outcome, there would be no need to play the games.
Enjoy the games!