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I did this before, but here's an update of the plus/minus on home/away. Home wins and road losses are worth 0 points. Home losses are worth -1. Road wins are worth +1. In the event of a tie, I went with whoever had fewer home losses. If that was the same, I went with who had better road wins and "better" home losses. Our bottom-feeders are pretty clear now.

Villanova +4 (5 road wins, 1 home loss) [4 road games to go]
Creighton +3 (3 road wins) [4 road games to go]
Marquette +1 (2 road wins, 1 home loss) [3 road games to go]
Xavier +1 (2 road wins, 1 home loss) [5 road games to go]
St. John's 0 (2 road wins, 2 home losses) [3 road games to go]
Providence 0 (2 road wins, 2 home losses) [3 road games to go]
Georgetown -1 (2 road wins, 3 home losses) [4 road games to go]
Seton Hall -1 (3 road wins, 4 home losses) [3 road games to go]
DePaul -3 (1 road win, 4 home losses) [3 road games to go]
Butler -3 (1 road win, 4 home losses) [3 road games to go]

Other than Xavier, everyone has 3 or 4 road games left to boost their score here. The bottom-feeders have been made pretty clear, the headliners are harder to catch now, and the middle of the pack is as tight as we'd expect it to be.

This makes me think Marquette has a chance to make a little run --- if they hold serve at home (would mean beating Creighton, X, Gtown, and SJU) and steal one or two on the road (road games are depaul, providence, and nova), they could play their way into the tourney.

I think this stat was more indicative in years past. This year it seems really flukey with teams not defending their home court nearly as well as in years past.

LTVU wrote:This makes me think Marquette has a chance to make a little run --- if they hold serve at home (would mean beating Creighton, X, Gtown, and SJU) and steal one or two on the road (road games are depaul, providence, and nova), they could play their way into the tourney.

I'm sorry but I don't see the Golden Eagles beating all four of them or even three out of four.

NJRedman wrote:

LTVU wrote:This makes me think Marquette has a chance to make a little run --- if they hold serve at home (would mean beating Creighton, X, Gtown, and SJU) and steal one or two on the road (road games are depaul, providence, and nova), they could play their way into the tourney.

I'm sorry but I don't see the Golden Eagles beating all four of them or even three out of four.

Outside shot at best, but hope never dies.

This Saturday's Xavier-Marquette game is a big one in terms of each team putting themselves in a position to finish 3rd in the conference this year. Xavier will be in great shape if they can find a way to pull out the road win. If Marquette wins, that puts them in a tie with X for 3rd place and gives them some momentum and a three-game winning streak heading into the final stretch of the regular season.

I would think that if Marquette finishes 3rd in the BE, that would put them in consideration for an at-large bid.