palm is on the fringe having UD at an 11, the Flyers consensus did drop a little from about a 7 to a 7.75 but are still in every bracketologist matrix except 1 and that guy has VCU listed twice and St. Louis once in his field so I think his bracket can be discounted. But your point is spot on, in the A10 UD, Davidson, & GW are definitely in a risk pool and the same is true of Big East with X, Johnnies and Hall. And it's that way across the landscape of conferences. This fellow has some really interesting data to follow over the next few weeks, he's not highly rated for his final bracket (not terrible either) but he always has all the teams in the mix and regularly updates. Of particular interest to me is how he frames the Bubble Watch.
http://www.seed-madness.com/