Bracketology

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Re: Bracketology

Postby stever20 » Fri Mar 06, 2020 2:14 am

scoscox wrote:
stever20 wrote:No they aren't. Either Cincy or Wichita is getting in, and frankly probably both. if AAC title game is Cincy/Wichita, they're getting 3 in, and frankly 3 with no one in Dayton.

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you do understand for the AAC that the only way they get 1 team in is If the AAC title game was Houston vs someone other than Memphis, Wichita, Cincy, UConn, and maybe even Tulsa. And Houston winning the game obviously. If Any of Memphis, Wichita, or Cincy make the title game, they are easy ins for the NCAA tourney.
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Re: Bracketology

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Re: Bracketology

Postby thebigeXpress » Fri Mar 06, 2020 3:14 am

I don't know where Stanford(NET 25), Wichita St(44) and Ariz St(NET 49) are in Lunardi's and Jerry Palm's bracket watch but all three lost tonight. Ariz St lost to a 12-16 Wash team at home whilst WSU lost to Memphis which, from what I'm reading, is a little ways from the bubble. Stanford lost to Oregon St.
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Re: Bracketology

Postby Hall2012 » Fri Mar 06, 2020 8:01 am

stever20 wrote:
scoscox wrote:
stever20 wrote:No they aren't. Either Cincy or Wichita is getting in, and frankly probably both. if AAC title game is Cincy/Wichita, they're getting 3 in, and frankly 3 with no one in Dayton.

Image


you do understand for the AAC that the only way they get 1 team in is If the AAC title game was Houston vs someone other than Memphis, Wichita, Cincy, UConn, and maybe even Tulsa. And Houston winning the game obviously. If Any of Memphis, Wichita, or Cincy make the title game, they are easy ins for the NCAA tourney.


I think you're missing the fact that the only Q1 games in the AAC tournament are against Houston, Wichita, and Cincy. Then Wichita and Cincy are so borderline that beating them, quite frankly, will also certainly knock them out of the net top 50. That leaves basically 1 opportunity for these teams to improve their at large resumes (which for many may not be available until the final when a win gets the auto bid anyway) among multiple opportunities to torch it.

Anyone other than Houston winning the bc AAC tournament would have to be considered a bid thief at this point.
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Re: Bracketology

Postby stever20 » Fri Mar 06, 2020 8:21 am

Hall2012 wrote:
I think you're missing the fact that the only Q1 games in the AAC tournament are against Houston, Wichita, and Cincy. Then Wichita and Cincy are so borderline that beating them, quite frankly, will also certainly knock them out of the net top 50. That leaves basically 1 opportunity for these teams to improve their at large resumes (which for many may not be available until the final when a win gets the auto bid anyway) among multiple opportunities to torch it.

Anyone other than Houston winning the bc AAC tournament would have to be considered a bid thief at this point.


The NET is far more stable than what you are saying. Just not seeing huge drops...

If any of Memphis, Wichita, or Cincy just make the title game, with where they are right now, they are in the tournament. They're already close enough, and with 2 conference tourney wins, they'd be in easily.
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Re: Bracketology

Postby Westbrook#36 » Fri Mar 06, 2020 9:04 am

The thing is about the Aaaack ... Tulsa is going to win the RS title, yet has to win the tourney title in that rodeo arena in Fort Worth to get a bid. Think about that, RS title and no bid, I forget, what do we usually call conferences like that?
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Re: Bracketology

Postby Savannah Jay » Fri Mar 06, 2020 9:31 am

Westbrook#36 wrote:The thing is about the Aaaack ... Tulsa is going to win the RS title, yet has to win the tourney title in that rodeo arena in Fort Worth to get a bid. Think about that, RS title and no bid, I forget, what do we usually call conferences like that?


M-M-M-M-M-M-Mid-Major.
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Re: Bracketology

Postby Edrick » Fri Mar 06, 2020 9:37 am

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Re: Bracketology

Postby stever20 » Fri Mar 06, 2020 9:40 am

Westbrook#36 wrote:The thing is about the Aaaack ... Tulsa is going to win the RS title, yet has to win the tourney title in that rodeo arena in Fort Worth to get a bid. Think about that, RS title and no bid, I forget, what do we usually call conferences like that?


no lock at all that Tulsa wins the RS title. They play Wichita. Probably lose that. Cincy wins the RS title actually..
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Re: Bracketology

Postby Savannah Jay » Fri Mar 06, 2020 9:49 am

stever20 wrote:you do understand for the AAC that the only way they get 1 team in is If the AAC title game was Houston vs someone other than Memphis, Wichita, Cincy, UConn, and maybe even Tulsa. And Houston winning the game obviously. If Any of Memphis, Wichita, or Cincy make the title game, they are easy ins for the NCAA tourney.


First off, Tulsa isn't getting an at large. Doesn't matter how many more games they win. They have a NET of 75 (like, worse than Georgetown and St. Johns) and little chance to change it. What's more, Tulsa and the Turds play this weekend so one will take another L. If it's Wichita, their NET will drop further (last night's loss dropped them from 44 to 48). Memphis and Houston play. One's gonna lose (game is in Houston so prob Memphis, whose NET is 60).

Houston is the only AAC assured to make the tournament. Memphis and Tulsa are not getting at large bids. If Cincy or Wichita don't win a couple more games, they will be in trouble. If they do make it, they will be the type of seeds that you've "warned" us about re: Big East and our troublesome round robin (ie. seeds that don't make deep runs, as you've mentioned when talking out of the other side of your mouth).
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Re: Bracketology

Postby GoldenWarrior11 » Fri Mar 06, 2020 10:07 am

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