RPI Forecast

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Re: RPI Forecast

Postby Bill Marsh » Mon Jan 06, 2014 4:59 pm

Here's the new forecast after this weekend's games:

6. Villanova ^
22. Creighton ^
30. Georgetown \/
36. Xavier \/
68. Marquette ^
69. Butler \/
86. St. John's \/
92. Providence -
137. Seton Hall \/
159. Depaul \/
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Re: RPI Forecast

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Re: RPI Forecast

Postby Bluejay » Mon Jan 06, 2014 8:14 pm

Bill Marsh wrote:Here's the new forecast after this weekend's games:

6. Villanova ^
22. Creighton ^
30. Georgetown \/
36. Xavier \/
68. Marquette ^
69. Butler \/
86. St. John's \/
92. Providence -
137. Seton Hall \/
159. Depaul \/


A 2 seed, a 6 seed, 8 seed and 9 seed. Two bubble teams.
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Re: RPI Forecast

Postby stever20 » Mon Jan 06, 2014 9:05 pm

Bluejay wrote:
Bill Marsh wrote:Here's the new forecast after this weekend's games:

6. Villanova ^
22. Creighton ^
30. Georgetown \/
36. Xavier \/
68. Marquette ^
69. Butler \/
86. St. John's \/
92. Providence -
137. Seton Hall \/
159. Depaul \/


A 2 seed, a 6 seed, 8 seed and 9 seed. Two bubble teams.

68/69 aren't even close to bubble teams quite frankly. Remember there are about 16 auto bids worse than any at large selection. So 52-54 normally the cutoff. #68 then about 14-16 spots away....
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Re: RPI Forecast

Postby Beast of the East » Mon Jan 06, 2014 9:37 pm

Bluejay wrote:
Bill Marsh wrote:Here's the new forecast after this weekend's games:

6. Villanova ^
22. Creighton ^
30. Georgetown \/
36. Xavier \/
68. Marquette ^
69. Butler \/
86. St. John's \/
92. Providence -
137. Seton Hall \/
159. Depaul \/


A 2 seed, a 6 seed, 8 seed and 9 seed. Two bubble teams.


Which would stink because we would likely only have 1, and 2 tops, of those 4 in the Sweet 16 with the 8/9 playing a #1 seed if winning their first game.

Agree with Steve, 68 and 69 aren't bubble teams.
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Re: RPI Forecast

Postby Jet915 » Mon Jan 06, 2014 9:40 pm

stever20 wrote:
Bluejay wrote:
Bill Marsh wrote:Here's the new forecast after this weekend's games:

6. Villanova ^
22. Creighton ^
30. Georgetown \/
36. Xavier \/
68. Marquette ^
69. Butler \/
86. St. John's \/
92. Providence -
137. Seton Hall \/
159. Depaul \/


A 2 seed, a 6 seed, 8 seed and 9 seed. Two bubble teams.

68/69 aren't even close to bubble teams quite frankly. Remember there are about 16 auto bids worse than any at large selection. So 52-54 normally the cutoff. #68 then about 14-16 spots away....


True, but these forecasts are so fluid, if Marquette beats Xavier, I bet they jump into bubble category.
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Re: RPI Forecast

Postby stever20 » Mon Jan 06, 2014 9:43 pm

Jet915 wrote:True, but these forecasts are so fluid, if Marquette beats Xavier, I bet they jump into bubble category.

Marquette projected to split with Xavier already. If Marquette swept them, it would likely drop Xavier into the bubble category as well- with the result of their 4/5 BET game being huge in getting 1 team into the tourney.
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Re: RPI Forecast

Postby Jet915 » Mon Jan 06, 2014 9:46 pm

stever20 wrote:
Jet915 wrote:True, but these forecasts are so fluid, if Marquette beats Xavier, I bet they jump into bubble category.

Marquette projected to split with Xavier already. If Marquette swept them, it would likely drop Xavier into the bubble category as well- with the result of their 4/5 BET game being huge in getting 1 team into the tourney.


My point is these forecasts are still very fluid, it's not the last couple weeks of the season, if this was mid-February, I think you could say that it's probably a 4 bid league but as of now, although it looks like a 4 bid league, it could change.
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Re: RPI Forecast

Postby CTYankee10 » Mon Jan 06, 2014 9:57 pm

I reactivated my account just to ignore stever and friarfan2, who are ruining this board!

As for actual basketball, enjoying the league this far. Nova/Seton Hall is on CBSSN on Wed and I don't have this channel. Anyone know how much a subscription would cost, and is worth it for a few games (full disclosure: nova fan)
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Re: RPI Forecast

Postby stever20 » Mon Jan 06, 2014 10:00 pm

Jet915 wrote:
stever20 wrote:
Jet915 wrote:True, but these forecasts are so fluid, if Marquette beats Xavier, I bet they jump into bubble category.

Marquette projected to split with Xavier already. If Marquette swept them, it would likely drop Xavier into the bubble category as well- with the result of their 4/5 BET game being huge in getting 1 team into the tourney.


My point is these forecasts are still very fluid, it's not the last couple weeks of the season, if this was mid-February, I think you could say that it's probably a 4 bid league but as of now, although it looks like a 4 bid league, it could change.

It's no where near as fluid as you would make it out to be.

Also-
Bill was just saying the plain rank. Not what the projected RPI is...
Villanova 9.3
Creighton 21.8
Georgetown 37.7
Xavier 42.5
Marquette 74.5
Butler 75.6
St John's 89.3
Providence 98.6
Seton Hall 140.8
DePaul 163.6

Big difference for especially Marquette and Butler.
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Re: RPI Forecast

Postby Jet915 » Mon Jan 06, 2014 10:06 pm

Time to ignore, nice knowing ya!
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